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South Asia Terrorism Portal

SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
[SAIR]

Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 21, No. 33, February 6, 2023
 
Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the South Asia Terrorism Portal.


ASSESSMENT

  • PAKISTAN: The Curse of Frankenstein - Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
  • INDIA: Jharkhand: Plunging Insurgency - Deepak Kumar Nayak

 


PAKISTAN

 

    Print

 

The Curse of Frankenstein
Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

 

We did not need to make Mujahideen. We created Mujahideen and then they became terrorists
- Federal Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah while addressing the Senate on
January 31, 2023.

On January 30, 2023, at least 84 persons were killed and another 220 were injured in a suicide blast inside a mosque in the Police Lines area of Peshawar, the provincial capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). The suicide attacker, who was in Police uniform, was present in the front row during the Zuhr prayer (second prayer offered at noon). The Capital City Police Officer (CCPO), Peshawar, Ejaz Khan, disclosed that around to 300 to 400 Policemen usually offered Zuhr prayers at the venue.

Two Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) leaders, Sarbakaf Mohmand and Omar Mukaram Khurasani, claimed that the attack was “revenge” for the death of the chief of TTP’s splinter group, Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (JuA), Khalid Khorasani, in the Barmal District‎ of ‎Paktika Province of Afghanistan on August 7, 2022. However, TTP central ‘spokesman’ Muhammad Khorasani denied any involvement in the attack. “Regarding the Peshawar incident, we consider it necessary to clarify that Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan has nothing to do with this incident. According to our laws and general constitution, any action in mosques, madrasas, funerals grounds and other sacred places is an offence,” Muhammad Khorasani declared in a statement.

On January 27, 2023, three Army personnel were killed and several others injured when the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) targeted an Army base from three directions near the Dandaar area of Kolwah town in the Awaran District of Balochistan. BLA ‘spokesman’ Jeehand Baloch claimed responsibility for the attack. "BLA will continue to intensify its attacks against the occupying forces till their full withdrawal from Balochistan", Jeehand Baloch added.

On January 19, 2023, three Police constables were killed in a suicide attack at the Takhta Beg Police checkpost in Jamrud tehsil (revenue unit) of Khyber District in KP. Police said terrorists armed with hand grenades, entered the premises and opened fire using a sub-machine gun. After the firing, a suicide bomber blew himself up. The TTP claimed responsibility for the attack.

On January 14, 2023, three Policemen, including Deputy Superintendent of Police (DSP) Badaber Sardar Hussain and his two Police guards, Irshad and Jehanzeb, were killed in a terrorist attack on the Sarband Police Station in Peshawar. KP Inspector General of Police (IGP) Moazzam Jah Ansari stated that sniper rifles were used by the terrorists in the incident, for the first time in Peshawar. TTP claimed responsibility for the attack.

According to partial data compiled by the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP), Pakistan has recorded 182 terrorism-related fatalities, including 132 Security Force (SF) personnel, 44 terrorists and six civilians, so far, in the current year (data till February 5, 2023). During the corresponding period of 2022, the province recorded 96 such fatalities, including 38 Security Force (SF) personnel, 37 terrorists and 21 civilians.

Meanwhile, overall terrorism-linked fatalities in Pakistan in 2022 had surged to 971 [229 civilians, 379 Security Force (SF) personnel and 363 terrorists], from 663 (214 civilians, 226 SF personnel and 223 terrorists) in 2021, an increase of 46.45 per cent. Reversing the declining trend in Pakistan between 2015 and 2019, overall fatalities have been increasing since 2020. With the return of the Taliban in Afghanistan on August 15, 2021, terrorism has increasingly been spilling over into Pakistan. 

There were 365 incidents of killing in 2022, as compared to 267 in 2021. 113 incidents in 2022 were major (each resulting in three or more fatalities), in which 626 persons were killed (127 civilians, 235 SF personnel and 264 terrorists). There were 88 major attacks (417 fatalities: 140 civilians, 113 SF personnel and 164 terrorists) in 2021. Out of 113 major incidents in 2022, there were 13 suicide attacks resulting in 109 fatalities, including 79 civilians, 17 SF personnel and 13 terrorists. There were only four suicide attacks in 2021, resulting in 25 fatalities, including 15 civilians, six SF personnel and four terrorists.

Other parameters of violence also indicate a worsening security situation in the country. There were 151 incidents of explosion in 2022, resulting in 247 fatalities, including 124 civilians, 98 SF personnel and 25 terrorists. The number of explosions reported in 2021 was 110, resulting in 165 fatalities, including 97 civilians, 62 SF personnel and six terrorists.

Among the principal reasons for the spike of violence in Pakistan in 2022 were the re-grouping of the TTP in August, 2020, and the capture of the Afghanistan Government by the Taliban in August 2021. The Taliban’s seizure of power in Kabul strengthened the TTP, giving them the courage and wherewithal to return to tribal areas of Pakistan, which they had fled during Operation Zarb-e-Azb [Sword of the Prophet] in 2014. Despite the fact that the Pakistan-bred and supported Haqqani Network was a dominant power, and was at the helm of the Ministry of Internal Security, in Afghanistan, TTP has made deep inroads into the tribal areas of Pakistan.

Any doubts that TTP and the Afghan Taliban are ideological twins have now been squarely removed. During an interview with on July 26, 2021, TTP ‘chief’ Noor Wali Mehsud asserted that his group had a ‘good relationship’ with the Afghan Taliban and hoped to benefit from the latter’s victories in Afghanistan. He further warned that TTP would continue its “war against Pakistan’s security forces” and declared that the outfit’s goal was to “take control of the border regions and make them independent.” This was the first time that TTP’s leadership called for an independent state to be carved out of Pakistan’s tribal areas.

Instead of taking strong actions against TTP, and despite the fact that the group had stepped up attacks in the Province, the Pakistan Government, sought to negotiate with the outfit with the help of the Taliban. As a result, both sides agreed on a month-long ceasefire between November 9 – December 9, 2021. On December 9, 2021, however, TTP declined to extend the ceasefire with the Government, alleging that the state forces had not only failed to implement the decisions reached between the two sides. The SFs had conducted raids in Dera Ismail Khan, Lakki Marwat, Swat, Bajaur, Swabi and North Waziristan, killing and detaining many TTP fighters. TTP consequently declared, “Under these circumstances, it is not possible to extend the ceasefire.” Mufti Noor Wali Mehsud announced an end to the ceasefire and asked his fighters to resume attacks.

There is, moreover, adequate evidence to indicate that the ceasefire was just a deceitful move by TTP to buy time and to revitalise its cadres. The Pakistani Government fell into the trap and released more than 100 TTP prisoners as a “goodwill gesture,” in response to the TTP’s acceptance of the ceasefire. During the month-long ceasefire, though five SF personnel were killed in three terrorism-related incidents, no TTP terrorist was killed.

After the collapse of the ceasefire, the TTP resumed its attacks against SFs. At a time when the TTP increased its attacks on SFs, the Imran Khan led PTI-Government in Islamabad sought to buy an improbable peace. A 10-day ceasefire agreement, starting May 1,2022, was reached between the Army and the TTP on the account of Eid (May 2, 2022). On May 10, TTP announced that the ceasefire was extended by another five days and stated that new directives would be issued on May 16. Though no announcement was made on May 16, on May 18, TTP announced that the ceasefire had been extended till May 30.

Under the auspices of the Afghan Taliban, talks commenced between committees of the TTP and the Government of Pakistan. However, sporadic violence continued from both sides. Eventually, however, on November 28, 2022, TTP announced an end to the then seven month-long ceasefire, declaring, in a statement released on Umar Media (TTP’s official website), that TTP’s ‘Minister of Defence’ had “ordered” TTP forces throughout Pakistan “to launch attacks anywhere in the country” in response to Pakistani military operations. The outfit claimed that it chose to end the ceasefire after “the Army and intelligence agencies continue to raid and attack” its forces. “And now our revenge attacks will continue in the whole country,” the TTP statement added.

As ‘official’ talks between the TTP and the Government collapsed with the TTPs declaration of an end to the ceasefire, an escalation of violence in KP and other areas of Pakistan was inevitable.

In 2022, the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, which was the most affected by the TTP resurgences, recorded the highest fatalities in a year since 2014. KP recorded a total of 527 fatalities (119 civilians, 173 SF personnel and 235 terrorists) in 184 incidents of killing in 2022, as against 300 such fatalities (71 civilians, 108 SF personnel, and 121 terrorists) in 129 such incidents in 2021, registering an increase of 75.66 per cent in overall fatalities. In terms of SF fatalities, the 2022 tally was the highest since 2013, when there were 181 SF fatalities. Terrorist fatalities in 2022 were the highest since 2011, when there were 372 such fatalities. The number of civilians killed in 2022 touched three digits after a gap of five years, with 122 civilians killed in 2016. Other parameters of violence also indicated a worsening security situation in the Province.

The ceasefire and peace-talks between the Government and TTP gave the terrorists space and time to find their feet in KP.  An October 12, 2022, report suggested that the TTP had re-emerged violently in the restive Swat region. Earlier, an August 12, 2022, report noted that TTP militants had established a check-post at Balasoor Top, besides roaming about freely in other areas of the Matta tehsil of Swat. Significantly, the Geo News correspondent in Swat, Mehboob Ali, claimed that at least 200-250 TTP terrorists were present and operating in the area. Other bordering Districts of the Province had also seen increased terrorist activities. After analysing the overall law and order situation in KP, the Police department declared South and North Waziristan, Lakki Marwat and Bannu Districts, terrorist ‘trouble spots’.

On December 27, 2022, Federal Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah disclosed that there were around 7,000 to 10,000 TTP fighters in the region, and they were accompanied by 25,000 members of their families. This statement was later confirmed by former Prime Minister Imran Khan who, on January 10, 2023, revealed that his government had planned to resettle TTP militants in the erstwhile Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), with the help of the Afghan Taliban. Imran Khan stated that the fall of Kabul and the rise of the Afghan Taliban to power provided Pakistan with a ‘golden opportunity’ to deal with the TTP threat. “The Afghan Taliban pressurised the TTP, which had over 5,000 fighters among its 40,000-strong group, to go back to Pakistan and we took a number of steps to deal with it,” he added.

On February 1, 2023, immediately after the Peshawar Police Lines Mosque suicide attack of January 30, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif accused, the Imran Khan led PTI Government for bringing about the resurgence of terrorism in the country. Targeting Imran Khan, he questioned, “Who regarded the terrorist as ‘jihadi’ and let them return?” In his remarks at a meeting of the Federal Cabinet, the Prime Minister argued that PTI had been ruling the KP for the past 10 years and was responsible for the safety of the lives of the innocent people of the province, who were suffering under the new spate of terrorist incidents.

After KP, the most affected province in Pakistan was Balochistan, in terms of terrorism related fatalities. Balochistan recorded a total of 406 fatalities (88 civilians, 202 SF personnel and 116 terrorists) in 160 incidents of killing in 2022, as against 308 such fatalities (111 civilians, 107 SF personnel, and 90 terrorists) in 111 such incidents in 2021, registering an increase of 31.82 per cent in overall fatalities. In terms of SF fatalities, the 2022 tally is the highest since the SATP database started documenting fatalities in Pakistan.

The escalating attacks on SFs in Balochistan are substantially a consequence of the continuing frustration among Baloch nationalist groups over the systematic extermination of ethnic Baloch through enforced disappearances and extrajudicial killings by Pakistan security agencies, in addition to the persistent neglect of the basic needs of the population. The annual report released on January 12, 2023, by Paank, the human rights organization of the Baloch National Movement (BNM), claimed that Pakistani forces in Balochistan forcibly disappeared 629 persons, extra-judicially killed 195, and tortured 187 people in 2022. 187 forcibly disappeared people were released from the torture cells of the Pakistani Army. Under the Universal Periodic Review process at the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) in Geneva on January 30, 2023, member states called on Pakistan to stop enforced disappearances and other human rights abuses and demanded the protection of people.

Though the over-all security situation in Sindh remains relatively calm, echoes of the Baloch insurgency reverberated in Karachi, the provincial capital of Sindh and commercial capital of the country, when Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) female Fidayeen (suicide cadre) Shaari Baloch aka Bramsh, from the Majeed Brigade (BLA’s suicide bomber squad), blew herself up near a van transporting Chinese nationals from a Karachi University (KU) hostel to the Confucius Institute, on April 26, 2022. Five persons, including three Chinese nationals, their Pakistani driver and a security guard, were killed.

Apart from this attack, terrorism-related incidents were at an all-time low in Sindh, with just 21 fatalities in 12 incidents recorded in 2022. Fatalities in 2021 totalled 28 in 13 incidents. The highest terrorism-related fatalities in the province were reported in 2013, when there were 1,656 such deaths.

However, street crime remained a major headache for the security establishment in Karachi, with as any as 85,000 incidents of armed street robberies recorded in the city in 2022. This was disclosed by Sindh Chief Minister, Syed Murad Ali Shah, on January 5, 2023, while chairing the meeting of the Apex Committee during a mention of the crime data compiled by the Citizens Police Liaison Committee (CPLC). Over 100 persons lost their lives in these incidents, while more than 400 citizens suffered injuries. In 2021, Karachi recorded over 73,000 armed street robberies, resulting in the killing of 69 citizens and injuries to another 418.

The Punjab Province recorded the lowest number of terrorism-related fatalities in 2022. According to partial data compiled by the SATP database, Punjab recorded just 11 terrorism-linked fatalities in 2022, including 10 civilians and one terrorist, as against 20 fatalities, including nine civilians, six terrorists and five Security Force (SF) personnel in 2021. However, the threat of terrorism in the province is far from over, with the year 2023 starting on a violent note, as one TTP terrorist shot dead two Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) officers posted in the Punjab Counter Terrorism Department (CTD) at a roadside restaurant on the National Highway, near Pirowal in Khanewal city (Khanewal District), on January 3. TTP ‘spokesman’ Mohammad Khorasani, in a statement to the media, stated, “Yesterday, a secret squad of TTP killed ISI Deputy Director Multan, Naveed Sadiq, along with his colleague Inspector Nasir Butt, at Bismillah Highway in Khanewal district of Punjab”.

While mainstream Islamist extremist groups took a back seat, blasphemy allegations continued to occur in the Punjab, as radicalisation remained rampant. While two incidents of blasphemy were reported in 2021, resulting in the death of one of the accused, 2022 recorded three blasphemy related incidents, with three of the accused done to death. Religious minorities in Punjab have long been under constant threat of abuse, abduction, rape and harassment by Islamist extremists. The abduction of minority girls for rape and forced conversion continues unabated in the province. According to a report titled “Conversion without Consent” released by Voice for Justice and Jubilee Campaign on December 10, 2022, as many as 100 cases of abduction, forced conversion, forced and child marriage of girls and women belonging to the Christian community, have been recorded between January 2019 and October 2022 in Pakistan.

While terrorism has declined sharply in Punjab and Sindh, insurgent and terrorist violence has escalated in the border provinces of KP and Balochistan. The Pakistan state and security establishment have been busy with the blame game over the deteriorating security situation, even as the likelihood of terrorism once again spilling over into the rest of Pakistan increases dramatically.


INDIA

 

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Jharkhand: Plunging Insurgency
Deepak Kumar Nayak

Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

On January 28, 2023, a Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) cadre was killed during an encounter between Security Forces (SFs) and the Maoists at Kari Mandar village under the Kunda Police Station limits in the Chatra District of Jharkhand. Chatra's Superintendent of Police (SP), Rakesh Ranjan, disclosed that the Commando Battalion for Resolute Action (CoBRA) of the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) and District Force personnel, who were on an anti-Naxal [Left Wing extremism, LWE] operation, had an encounter with the squad led by Maoist ‘commander’ Manohar Ganjhu, who had a reward of INR 1.5 million on his head. After the encounter, which lasted for almost an hour, the Maoists fled into the forest.

On January 23, 2023, the Police killed Vishal Sahu, an ‘area commander’ of the People's Liberation Front of India (PLFI), a splinter group of the CPI-Maoist, in an encounter at Mudla Toli in Thakurgaon, Ranchi District. Vishal's squad had reached the Thakurgaon area to collect ‘levy’ (extortion money) from a businessman. Following information, the Police laid siege, and the militants started firing on the Police. In retaliatory fire by the Police, Vishal Sahu was killed, while the other Maoists in the group managed to escape.

On the first 35 days of the current year, two Naxalites have thus been killed in Jharkhand (data till February 5, 2023).

According to partial data collated by the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP), at least 21 fatalities, including six civilians, two SF personnel and 13 Naxalites, were recorded in Jharkhand, in LWE-linked violence in 2022, as against 25 such fatalities, including 11 civilians, six SF personnel and eight Naxalites, in 2021. The 2022 tally is the lowest number of overall fatalities recorded in the State since March 6, 2000, when SATP started compiling data on LWE. A previous low of 25 fatalities was recorded in 2021. Overall fatalities in the State have been declining since 2014, barring spikes in 2016 and 2019.

Fatalities in the civilian category, one of the primary indicators of security in conflict zones, suggest an improving environment, with a decline of 45.45 per cent in 2022, from 11 in 2021 to six in 2022. Civilian fatalities in 2022 were the lowest in the State since March 6, 2000. A previous low of eight fatalities was recorded in 2020. A high of 79 civilian fatalities was recorded in the year 2011.

Moreover, SFs killed 13 Naxalites in the State in 2022, while they lost two of their own personnel, yielding a SF:Naxalite kill ratio of 1:6.5. Comparatively, in 2021, SFs killed eight Naxalites and lost six of their own personnel, yielding a kill ratio of 1:1.33.

The top five positive kill ratios achieved against the Naxalites in the State, since March 6, 2000, in descending order, were 1:9 in 2020, 1:7.4 in 2015, 1:6.75 in 2017, 1:6.5 in 2021, and 1:5.75 in 2007. Conversely, the kill ratio favoured the Naxalites on six occasions – 1.15:1 in 2001, 5.13:1 in 2002, 2:1 in 2004, 1.4:1 in 2005, 1.41:1 in 2006, and 1.16:1 in 2009. Significantly, however, the overall kill ratio since March 6, 2000, favours the SFs, at 1:1.42.

Out of a total of 24 Districts in Jharkhand, the number from where killings were reported remained the same in 2022, as in 2021, at seven. However, only three – Latehar, Lohardaga and West Singhbhum – were common to both years. In 2022, fatalities were reported from Latehar (six), West Singhbhum (four), Khunti and Lohardaga (three each), Seraikela-Kharsawan and Ranchi (two each) and Giridih (one). In 2021: West Singhbhum (nine), Gumla (five), Latehar (four), Lohardaga (three), Palamu (two), Chatra and Hazaribagh (one each).

As with the fall in overall fatalities from 25 to 21, and in incidents of killing from 22 to 14, other parameters of violence also recorded a declining trend. the Maoists triggered explosions on at least 12 occasions in 2022, as against 13 such explosions in 2021. At least eight incidents of arson were recorded in 2022, as against nine in 2021. Moreover, the Maoists issued bandh (general shut down strike) calls on two occasions in 2022, as against five such incidents in 2021.

Meanwhile, at least 155 LWE cadres were arrested in 2022, in addition to 141 such arrests in 2021. 92 Maoists were arrested in 2020, and 69 in 2019. Till February 3, 2023, another 18 LWEs had already been arrested in the current year. Mounting SF pressure also yielded the surrender of 18 Maoists in 2022, in addition to 17 such surrenders in 2021, as well as 11 each in 2020 and 2019. Another nine LWEs have already surrendered in the current year (data till February 5, 2023).

According to SATP, based on assessments of underground and over-ground activities of the Naxalites in 2022, seven districts – Latehar, West Singhbhum, Khunti, Lohardaga, Seraikela-Kharsawan, Ranchi and Giridih – were categorized as moderately affected; while, four Districts – Palamu, Hazaribagh, Bokaro, and Gumla – were in the marginally affected category. In 2021, seven districts – West Singhbhum, Gumla, Latehar, Lohardaga, Palamu, Chatra and – were moderately affected; and, eight – Bokaro, Deoghar, Garhwa, Giridih, Khunti, Ramgarh, Ranchi and Seraikela-Kharsawan – were marginally affected.

The State also witnessed a waning influence of the PLFI, Tritiya Prastuti Committee (TPC), Jharkhand Jan Mukti Parishad (JJMP) and other lesser CPI-Maoist splinters. Around 19 LWE groups are known to be present in Jharkhand.

On January 27, 2023, Jharkhand Chief Minister Hemant Soren visited the former Maoist bastion, Budha Pahar, a 55-square kilometre forested area at the tri-junction of Latehar and Garhwa Districts in Jharkhand, and Balrampur in neighbouring Chhattisgarh, around 150 kilometres from State capital Ranchi. The area was finally freed by SFs, after over three decades of LWE dominance. On September 21, 2022, development projects worth INR 1 billion were unveiled under the Budha Pahad Development Project (BPDP). Addressing the people at Budha Pahad, Chief Minister Soren declared:

'Once this area was witness to the terror of Maoists, who kept the area under their control. However, our security forces have made it Naxal free… Perhaps for the first time there is such a pleasant atmosphere. In the coming days, this area will see milestones in terms of development. With the help of guns, you can create an atmosphere of fear and dread for some time, but it is neither in your interest nor in the interest of society. Leave the gun… Today the government is working to provide you coverage under schemes, by coming to your doorstep. By joining these schemes, choose living with self-respect.

Chief Minister Soren launched schemes worth INR 52.7 million, to promote forest products, and handed over enrolment letters to citizens under the Chief Minister Employment Generation Scheme. He also appealed to the youth of the area to stay away from violence and announced plans to open a medicine shop in every village, with those who have studied up to intermediate eligible for licence to open such outlets. These shops would be connected with Government doctors over mobile phones, for round-the-clock service.

According to a November 21, 2022, report, the CRPF established three new Forward Operating Bases (FOBs) in the remote Naxalite-affected areas of Jharkhand and neighbouring Chhattisgarh as part of its strategy to strike deep into the CPI-Maoist strongholds. While one FOB each has been established in Sukma and Bijapur Districts (Chhattisgarh), the third was created in Jharkhand’s West Singhbhum District, to serve as a base for the SFs to launch coordinated operations in the surrounding areas. These FOBs will also help in cutting off the Maoist supply lines.

The National Investigation Agency (NIA) has taken several steps against LWE elements. Most recently, on January 20, 2023, the NIA filed a charge sheet before the NIA Special Court, Ranchi, against Tarun Kumar and Pradyuman Sharma, in a case related to the funding of the CPI-Maoist. The case was registered suo-moto by the NIA on December 30, 2021, and relates to a conspiracy by the members of the CPI-Maoist for its revival in the Magadh Zone, and to raise funds for the organization. 

On January 8, 2023, the NIA filed a supplementary chargesheet before the NIA Special Court, Ranchi, against 14 accused, in connection with the Naxalite attack on former Member of Legislative Assembly (MLA) Gurucharan Nayak and the killing of two Police personnel on January 4, 2022 in West Singhbhum.

There are, however, some residual threats. In the most recent incident, on January 18, 2023, PLFI cadres set ablaze two vehicles of the company contracted to work on railway doubling near Odga Railway Station in Simdega District. The extremists left a pamphlet and warned that the same treatment would be meted out if any work was done without taking the outfit’s permission.

On January 17, 2023, the CPI-Maoist announced a Jharkhand bandh on January 22, 2023, in protest against the arrest of Krishna Hansda aka Avinash aka Saurabh, a ‘regional committee member’ (RCM), who had a reward of INR 1.5 million on his head. Hansda was arrested by the Police and paramilitary forces from the Fatehpur village of Dumri. Another accomplice, Renuka Murmu, was arrested from Chaparia village under the Jasidih Police Station area of Deoghar. CPI-Maoist alleged that both had been tortured during detention.

On January 13, 2023, the CPI-Maoist triggered three IED blasts in the Tumbahaka Forest in West Singhbhum District, when SFs were carrying out a search operation. However, nobody was hurt in the explosions.

On November 3, 2022, Maoist posters surfaced at Bandih Mor and Kashmar village in the Oria Panchayat (village level local self-Government institution) under Kamalpur Police Station in East Singhbhum District. Written in red ink and in Bengali, the posters stated that the villagers should not think that the Maoist were finished. They were still there and would soon avenge the death of Kishan ji alias Mallojula Koteswara Rao, the Maoist leader who was killed on November 24, 2011. “Lal Salaam” and CPI-Maoist were inscribed at the bottom of the poster.

Jharkhand continues to lag significantly in terms of the strength and quality of the State Police Force, which constitutes the first line of defence against any kind of internal challenge. According to Bureau of Police Research and Development (BPR&D) data, there was a vacancy of 18,751 personnel, (22.63 per cent of the sanctioned strength of 82,853), in the State. Inexcusably, of a total of 564 Police Stations in the State, 211 (37.41 per cent of the total) had no telephones, 31 Police Stations (5.49 per cent of the total) had no wireless/mobiles, and 47 Police Stations (8.33 per cent of the total) had no vehicles. Further, of a sanctioned strength of 149 apex Indian Police Service (IPS) Officers in the State, 35 posts (23.48 per cent) remained vacant, considerably weakening the executive direction of the Force.

Despite critical deficits in the deployment of SFs, a noticeable improvement has been engineered on the ground, in containing the LWE menace. Several challenges, nonetheless, remain, and both the State and Central Governments will need to boost their efforts to bring the residual affected areas under the complete sway of the State.

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia 
January 30 - February 5, 2023

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

NS

Total

AFGHANISTAN

11
0
0
0
11

INDIA

 

Chhattisgarh

1
0
0
0
1

India (Total)

1
0
0
0
1

PAKISTAN

 

Balochistan

0
13
0
0
13

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

0
83
14
0
98

PAKISTAN (Total)

1
96
14
0
111

Total (South Asia)

13
96
14
0
123
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


AFGHANISTAN

We judge Taliban on its actions, says US ambassador to the United Nations Linda Thomas-Greenfield: Linda Thomas-Greenfield, United States (US) ambassador to the United Nations (UN), said "We are going to judge them on their actions and so for that reason, they are not recognized in the UN and we have not recognized them here ...,". She further added that Taliban has always reiterated that it has completed all the conditions required for official recognition. Tolo News, February 4, 2023.

Qatar bribed prominent Afghan leaders a month before the collapse of Afghanistan to not fight Taliban, says report: Italian TG1 News Network revealed an investigative report showing that Qatar had paid Ashraf Ghani, Marshal Dostum, and Atta Mohammad Noor USD 110, USD 51, and USD 61 million, respectively, not to fight against Taliban fighters. The network has recently published three documents that indicate the receipt of bribes to the prominent leaders of Afghanistan a month before the collapse of the previous government in Afghanistan. The Khaama Press, February 3, 2023.

US imposes new visa restrictions on certain Taliban members involved in repressing women's rights: On February 1, US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, announced that the United States is imposing new visa restrictions on certain current and former Taliban members, non-state security group members and others who are believed to be involved in repressing the rights of women and girls in Afghanistan. Hashte-e Subh, February 3, 2023.

Taliban declare a ban on open trade of opium in Kandahar Province: Taliban banned the opium trade in Kandahar Province, as local sources said that the Taliban on January 31, informed all shopkeepers and drug dealers in Kandahar's Maiwand District market of this decision two days ago. The Taliban stressed that opium dealers cannot do their business openly from now on. Hashte-e Subh, February 2, 2023.

Taliban's measures against women are not about religion and culture, states US Special Envoy Rina Amiri: US Special Envoy for Afghan women, Rina Amiri, on February 1, said that restrictions imposed by the Taliban against women are not based on Sharia law and Afghan culture. She twitted, "The Taliban's relentless measures against women and girls' education has been repudiated by the world, including the OIC and Muslim-majority countries, as well as Afghans themselves. These actions are not about religion and culture - they stifle Afghanistan's greatest potential." Hashte-e Subh, February 2, 2023.

180 female prisoners along with their children kept in various prisons in North Afghanistan: 180 women and their children were being kept in prisons without heating systems in Samangan, Balkh, Jawzjan, Sar-e-Pul and Faryab provinces in north Afghanistan. 61 women were imprisoned in Balkh women's prison, 34 women were being kept in Samangan prison, 48 women in Faryab prison, 25 women in Jawzjan prison and 12 women in Sar-e-Pul women's prison. Hashte-e Subh, February 1, 2023.

BANGLADESH

Jama'atul Ansar Fil Hindal Sharqiya poses a bigger security threat than any militant outfit ever did, says official sources: Jama'atul Ansar Fil Hindal Sharqiya posed a bigger security threat than any militant outfit ever did, according to official sources. Commenting on Jama'atul Ansar's combat training, operational tactics and activities, officers, wishing anonymity, said operatives of the newly emerged militant outfit were highly motivated. Several officers who seized documents during raids on Bandarban hills said the militants followed the code of conduct of Al Qaeda and Islamic State (IS). The Daily Star, February 1, 2023.

INDIA

MEA lists Pakistan based LeT 'deputy chief' Abdul Rehman Makki as UN-Listed Terrorist: The Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) on February 1, issued an order to put into effect the listing of Pakistan-based Abdul Rehman Makki as a United Nations (UN)-listed terrorist. Makki was recently designated as a global terrorist by the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) on January 16. According to the MEA, Makki is the 'deputy chief' of Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT), as well as the head of LeT's international relations section and a member of Shura. Mint, February 2, 2023.

SDPI reassembles its cadres in Kerala after PFI ban: The political wing of the Popular Front of India (PFI), Social Democratic Party of India (SDPI) is trying hard to re-group its cadres and strengthen the party in Kerala after the ban on the PFI and its top leaders had been jailed. The SDPI, founded in 2008, which had been keeping a low-profile for three months after the nation-wide crackdown on its parent outfit, started protests throughout Kerala with meetings organised outside the state secretariat and in Kochi in Ernakulum District on January 26.  Hindustan Times, January 30, 2023.

MALDIVES

President Ibrahim Mohamed Solih wins Maldivian ruling party's Presidential Primary Election: The Maldivian Democratic Party (MDP) - the ruling party of the Maldives- held its Presidential primary on January 28, 2023, to elect its candidate for the upcoming Presidential elections scheduled on September 9, 2023. The two main leaders of the MDP- Ibrahim Mohamed Solih (the current President of the Republic of Maldives) and Mohamed Nasheed (current Speaker of the Maldivian Parliament and former President) contested for the party's Presidential ticket. Avas, January 28, 2023.

PAKISTAN

84 persons killed and 220 injured in suicide blast inside mosque in Peshawar city of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: At least 84 persons were killed and another 220 were injured in a suicide blast inside a mosque in the Police Lines area of Peshawar, the provincial capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). The suicide attacker, who was in Police uniform, was present in the front row during the Zuhr prayer (second prayer offered at noon). Two Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) leaders, Sarbakaf Mohmand and Omar Mukaram Khurasani, claimed that the attack was "revenge" for the death of the chief of TTP's splinter group, Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (JuA), Khalid Khorasani, in the Barmal District? of ?Paktika Province of Afghanistan on August 7, 2022. However, TTP central 'spokesman' Muhammad Khorasani denied any involvement in the attack. Dawn, Geo News January 31, 2023.

Pakistan asks Afghanistan for 'concrete actions' against TTP, says Foreign Office: Pakistan on February 2, asked the interim Afghanistan Government to take 'concrete actions' against terrorist outfits including the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) operating out of the neighboring country in the wake of deadly terrorist attack in Peshawar killing over 102 mostly police officials. The Express Tribune, February 3, 2023.

Not responsible for resurgence of terrorism, says former PM Imran Khan: Former Prime Minister (PM) and Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Chairman Imran Khan on February 1 said that he was not responsible for the resurgence of terrorism in the country. "I am not part of the government... how can I be blamed for it (rise in terrorism)," he said while addressing his supporters from his Zaman Park resident in Lahore, the provincial capital of Punjab. Earlier the day, PM Shehbaz Sharif on raised serious concern over the resurfacing of terrorism in KP, accusing the PTI of failing to maintain security despite availability of special funds. The Express Tribune, February 2, 2023.

UNHRC call on Pakistan to stop enforced disappearances and other human rights abuses: Under the Universal Periodic Review process at the United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) in Geneva, the member states called on Pakistan to stop enforced disappearances and other human rights abuses and demanded the protection of people. UNHRC meeting on January 30 was Pakistan's fourth review, having previously been reviewed under this process in 2008, 2012, and 2017. The Balochistan Post, January 31, 2023.

 

The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal

 
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