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South Asia Terrorism Portal

SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
[SAIR]

Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 21, No. 21, November 14, 2022
 
Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the South Asia Terrorism Portal.


ASSESSMENT

  • BANGLADESH: Rising Rohingya Predicament - Sanchita Bhattacharya
  • INDIA: Odisha: Nuapada - Recurrent Menace - Deepak Kumar Nayak

 


BANGLADESH

 

    Print

 

Rising Rohingya Predicament
Sanchita Bhattacharya
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management

On November 8, a Rohingya man, identified as Mohammed Selim, was killed in a gunfight between two groups of criminals in Teknaf sub-District of Cox's Bazar District. Mohammed Selim lived in the Noapara Rohingya camp.

On October 27, criminals shot dead two Rohingya men after picking them up from their homes in a refugee camp in the Ukhiya sub-District of Cox's Bazar District. The deceased were identified as Ayat Ullah (40) and Mohammad Yeasin (30).

On October 18, a Rohingya youth, Syed Hossain was killed by miscreants at the Tajnimar Khola 19 camp in the Palangkhali Union of Ukhiya sub-District in Cox's Bazar.

On October 15, two Rohingya community leaders were stabbed to death by unknown assailants at the Balukhali refugee camp at Ukhiya, Cox's Bazar District. Mohammad Anwar, 38, and Mohammad Yunus, 35, were residents of Block-F at the camp.

On October 4, Tasdia Akhter, an 11-year-old girl, was killed during a gunfight between unidentified gunmen and members of the Armed Police Battalion (APBn) at Block H-52 of the Moynarghona Rohingya camp No. 18 in the Palangkhali Union of Ukhiya sub-District, Cox's Bazar.

On September 21, unidentified criminals killed a Rohingya man, identified as Jafar, (35), who was a volunteer guard in Block H-51 of Camp-18 in Ukhiya sub-District, Cox's Bazar District.

Since 2017, growing tensions in connection with inter-group and intra-group conflicts, as well as militant activities in the Rohingya refugee camps; mounting cases of drug trafficking; and worries of reduced aid due to decreasing international support, have increased the mistrust between the Rohingya and local Bangladeshis, causing serious concern.  

Though accurate data regarding fatalities is not available, according to partial data collated by the Institute for Conflict Management, 45 Rohingya criminals have been killed in intra-group clashes or by Security Forces in an around Rohingya refugee camps, in addition to another 15 militants and 25 civilians, in and around Rohingya refugee camps in Bangladesh since August 15, 2017.

The Rohingya refugee issue has often cropped up in the mainstream political discourse of Bangladesh in particular, and in the wider South Asia region in general, since August, 2017, when more than 725,000 Rohingyas fled Myanmar, to Bangladesh. On August 15, 2017, Muslim insurgents calling themselves the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) launch an assault on 30 Myanmar Police posts and an Army base in the north of the Rakhine State, in which nearly 80 insurgents and 12 members of the Security Forces were killed. As fighting intensified between the Myanmar Army and ARSA, thousands of Rohingyas fled to Bangladesh. Rohingya refugees had crossed the border and entered Bangladesh earlier as well, with significant spikes following violent attacks in 1978, 1991-1992, and again in 2016. As of October 2022, over 943,000 stateless Rohingya refugees were residing in the Ukhiya and Teknaf sub-districts of Cox’s Bazar. The vast majority live in 34 extremely congested camps, including the largest single site, the Kutupalong-Balukhali Expansion Site.

Unlawful activities have been increasing in the refugee camps due to the growing and active presence of organized gangs. According to an August 11, 2022, report, Rohingyas had formed at least 20 organised armed gangs, presently active in the refugee camps, prominently including the ‘Salman Shah Group’, ‘Putia Group’, ‘Munna Group’, ‘Hakim Group’, and ‘Jokir Group’. The gangs were involved in serious crimes such as arms, drugs and human trafficking, gold smuggling, kidnapping, extortion and killing. They were also involved in robberies, burglaries, cybercrime, sexual harassment as well as illegal SIM card and the hundi (money laundering) trade, as well as grabbing lands from Bangladeshi citizens. These organised Rohingya armed groups also run juvenile gangs.

Recent reports indicate that the crime rate in the camps is increasing drastically. In an August 22, 2022, report, Cox’s Bazar Police spokesperson Rafiqul Isla disclosed that, between August 25, 2017, and August 20, 2022, a total of 2,438 crimes had been registered in the Rohingya camps. These include 100 cases of murder – most of them carried out with knives or guns – 185 cases of possession of arms, 1,636 drug cases, 39 kidnappings, and 13 cases of attacks on Security Forces. A total of 5,226 refugees were charged for these crimes. Moreover, according to an October 1, 2021, report, criminal cases involving Rohingya refugees were increasing rapidly, with 75 cases in 2017; 208 in 2018; 263 in 2019; 184 in 2020; and 570 cases in the first eight months of 2021.

These gangs have created an alternate route for narcotics trafficking, particularly methamphetamine and Yaba tablets (a cocktail of methamphetamine and caffeine), through the Naikhyangchhari border in the Bandarban District, into the refugee camps, as the old Teknaf route has become difficult due to the ‘zero tolerance’ policy and vigilance of the Bangladeshi government. Significantly, on June 9, 2021, marking the first use of capital punishment under the 2018 Narcotics Control Act in Bangladesh, Mohammad Arif, a 28-year-old Rohingya resident of Kutapalong Camp 2 in the Ukhiya Sector of Cox’s Bazar, was sentenced to death by a lower court for the possession and smuggling of methamphetamine tablets. Although the charges brought against him would not normally warrant capital punishment, the Cox’s Bazar Additional District and Sessions Judge Abdullah Al Mamun made an exception, deeming Arif’s actions an attack on Bangladesh’s security interests. In the verdict, Al Mamun thus stated, “The defendant is a full grown, healthy, and normal person with discretion. He is fully aware of the provisions of Islam. Despite being sheltered in Bangladesh, the Rohingya Yabakarbari (Yaba trade) is trying to destroy the country by smuggling drugs.”

Apart from these criminal activities, ARSA, a virulent insurgent group based in Myanmar, is also finding its way into the refugee camps in Bangladesh. ARSA has created a group of at least 150 cadres inside the camps, and they were targeting Rohingya volunteers who were sharing information with the APBn of the Bangladesh Police and members of intelligence agencies about the movements and activities of the criminal gangs. On September 29, 2021, Rohingya leader and activist Mohib Ullah was brutally murdered at the Kutupalong camp, due to his ideological differences with, and protest against, ARSA. This was followed by a bloodbath unleashed by criminals on the Darul Ulum Nadwatul Ulama Al-Islamia Madrasa in Camp 18, with the killing of six Rohingyas, including madrasa chief Maulana Akiz, who also opposed ARSA.  Later, on March 5, 2022, APBn arrested Zakaria, the ‘chief commander’ of ARSA’s Ulama branch, from the Lambasia Rohingya refugee camp in Ukhiya. According to Superintendent of Police (SP) Naimul Haque, Zakaria issued the ‘fatwa’ for Mohib Ullah’s assassination.

Unsurprisingly, as reported on August 29, stating that the efforts of the Bangladesh government were underway to repatriate the Rohingya refugees, Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan Kamal added that Army troops would be deployed in the refugee camps, if necessary, to prevent crimes and check smuggling of drugs into the country. The Home Minister added, "Mobile phones of the Rohingya refugees will be tracked so that they cannot commit any illegal activities." Regarding the government's efforts to resolve the Rohingya crisis, the Minister noted, "I hope the Rohingyas will be repatriated soon. Government's efforts are still on."

In the meantime, on October 17, a fresh batch of 963 Rohingyas reached Bhashan Char (an island in Noakhali District) in the 14th phase of resettlement within Bangladesh. With this, the total number of Rohingyas at the Bhashan Char reached 30,079, according to Lieutenant Hashem, in-charge of the Bhashan Char Rohingya Camp. In 2020, 306 Rohingyas who tried to go to Malaysia illegally by sea were rescued from the sea and taken to Bhashan Char. Many Rohingyas are not willing to settle on Bhashan Char, and reports indicate that some Rohingya drug cartels and extremist groups have taken a stand against repatriation to or rehabilitation in Bhasan Char, in order to keep their trafficking business alive.

The Rohingya refugees residing in Bangladesh are causing serious law and order problems. With the news of a fresh wave of violence between the Arakan Army and Myanmar’s military junta in the Rakhine province of Myanmar, the situation has become precarious, both in terms of the overflow of refugees as well as of diverse patterns of criminality and violence. In these circumstances, the pressure on the Bangladesh Government can only mount in view of the increasing criminal and terrorist activities emanating from the Rohingya refugee camps.


INDIA

 

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Odisha: Nuapada - Recurrent Menace
Deepak Kumar Nayak

Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

On November 4, 2022, State Director General of Police (DGP), Sunil Kumar Bansal, on the sidelines of the inauguration of the District Intelligence and Operation Centre in Nuapada District, disclosed that a joint task force to combat Left Wing Extremism (LWE) would be formed in view of the vulnerabilities of the district to Naxalites (Left Wing Extremist) activities in neighbouring Chhattisgarh. The joint task force would comprise troops from the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), District Voluntary Force (DVF) and Special Operations Group (SOG) posted in areas bordering Chhattisgarh, and would work to thwart attempts by the Naxalites in the district to engage in violent activities. He further instructed the Security Forces (SFs) to intensify anti-Naxalite operations and set up more camps in the area.

Significantly, there has been an increase in rebel activities in the District in the current year.

On August 18, 2022, Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) cadres killed a man, identified as Ananta Rout (36), a native of Chhattisgarh who had relocated to Dhekunpani more than a decade ago, at Dhekunpani village in the Sunabeda Wildlife Sanctuary, close to the Chhattisgarh border.  The ‘Mainpur-Sunabeda divisional committee’ of CPI-Maoist claimed responsibility for the incident in through pamphlets and posters, and warned people against working on behalf of the Police. In the pamphlets and posters, the ultras stated that Rout was punished as he was a ‘police informer’.

The last civilian killing before this was reported on April 16, 2018, when CPI-Maoist cadres killed Hirasingh Majhi, a former sarpanch (head of the Panchayat, village level local-self Government institution) and dumped his body in the Sahajpani Forest, five kilometers away from the Bhainsadani Gram Panchayat under Boden Police limits. A total of 12 civilians have been killed in the district since March 6, 2000, when South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP), started documenting LWE-linked violence in the country.

Moreover, on June 21, 2022, three CRPF personnel were killed in a CPI-Maoist attack in the Patadhara Reserve Forest in the Bheden Block (administrative division). The incident happened when the CRPF personnel were going from one camp to another, and it is suspected that the Maoists had prior information regarding the movement of the forces.

The last fatality in the SF category was reported way back on November 29, 2013, when CPI-Maoist cadres opened fire and killed two Policemen in the Sunabeda Sanctuary area. Seven SF personnel have been killed since March 6, 2000.

On the other hand, the lone Maoist fatality since March 6, 2000, was recorded on April 14, 2014, when a female CPI-Maoist cadre, identified as Jayanti, an armed cadre of the CPI-Maoist ‘Mainpur-Nuapada divisional committee', was killed in an exchange of fire with SFs in the Sunabeda Sanctuary.

In terms of overall fatalities as well, with four fatalities (data till November 13), 2022 has been the worst year since 2013, which also recorded four fatalities (two civilians and two SF personnel). The district has recorded a high of four fatalities in a year thrice, including 2011. Prior to the June 21, 2022, incident mentioned above, the last killing in the district was reported on April 16, 2018. 

The data suggests a spike in Maoist violence in the current year.

Other parameters of violence also suggest an increase in Maoist activities. There have been a total of seven Maoist-linked incidents in 2022 (with over a month left) as against three through 2021. There were two and three such incidents in 2019 and 2020, respectively.  2018 recorded 10 incidents. The district has recorded a total of 62 Maoist-linked incidents since March 6, 2000.

In the most recent incident, on October 25, 2022, following encounters, SFs neutralized a CPI-Maoist camp and seized arms and ammunition in a forest in Nuapada District. Superintendent of Police, Pratyush Diwakar stated,

During the operation, the Maoists opened fire and the security forces retaliated. Following the exchange of fire, the Maoists escaped into deep forest. Later in the day, while the security forces were carrying out combing operation, the Maoists again opened fire and an exchange of fire ensued for around 5 minutes. This time also the Left wing extremists managed to escape. According to our intelligence, a Maoist team led by Murali and Jayaram is moving in the reserve forest on the border with Chhattisgarh. We have intensified the combing operation to nab them.

Following the second encounter, the SFs recovered some arms and ammunition.

According to the official site of the Odisha State Police, LWE activities remained under control in the State, though the problem remained challenging in parts of Nuapada, Koraput, Kalahandi, Rayagada, Kandhamal and Malkangiri Districts.

On June 19, 2021, the Union Ministry of Home Affairs (UMHA) included Nuapada, along with nine other Districts of the State (Bargarh, Bolangir, Kalahandi, Kandhamal, Koraput, Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Rayagada, and Sundargarh), among the 70 LWE-affected Districts in 10 States across India, to be covered under the Centre's 'Security Related Expenditure (SRE)' scheme, which funds focused operations against the ultras.

Meanwhile, on September 7, 2022, in a unique gesture to appeal to all Maoists to shun violence and enter mainstream, and to work together for nation's progress, the Nuapada Police facilitated the wedding ceremony of two former Maoists, Rahul Musaki alias Pintu and Dalmati Kamar alias Madhuri, at the Reserve Police ground in Nuapada District. Following the ceremony, the Inspector-in-Charge of Jonk Police Station, Kailash Sethi, who acted as the bride's father, stated,

We are very happy to be a part of the former Maoist couple's wedding. All the officials of the police station and police outpost attended the wedding. We expect them to lead a life of an ideal couple. We hope this will set an example for other Maoists to join the mainstream soon and we will accept them with a warm welcome.

Nuapada District is located in the western part of Odisha with its boundaries extended in the north, west and south to the Raipur district of Chhattisgarh State, and in the east to Bargarh, Bolangir and Kalahandi Districts of Odisha. Nuapada is spread over an area of 3,852 square kilometres and was part of the undivided Kalahandi district till early March 1993. The present Nuapada District comprises one sub-division (Nuapada), five tehsils (Nuapada, Khariar, Komna, Boden and Sinapali) and five blocks (Khariar, Sinapalli, Boden, Nuapada and Komna). The plains of Nuapada subdivision are fringed with rugged hill ranges, stretching southward, into the main line of the Eastern Ghats, and contain extensive plateaus at about 4,000 feet (1,200 metres) in elevation, with long tropical grass growing over them. Specifically, the district shares its borders with Naxalite-affected Chhattisgarh to the north, west and south, making Nuapada an ideal spot for a guerrilla safe haven.

Seven CRPF Companies (each of 135 personnel), along with three teams of the SOG, 33 DVF units, and six Indian Reserve Battalion and 18 Odisha Special Striking Force Battalion, are deployed in Nuapada to counter the rebels.

Maoist violence in Nuapada had been contained over an extended period of time. The current spike is a warning that the rebels retain some residual capacities, and need a  sustained effort by the SFs to secure  an enduring peace in the district.

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia 
November 7-13, 2022

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

NS

Total

AFGHANISTAN

4
0
0
2
6

INDIA

 

Chhattisgarh

0
1
0
0
1

Jammu and Kashmir

0
0
1
0
1

Maharashtra

0
0
1
0
1

Odisha

0
0
2
0
2

Telangana

1
0
0
0
1

India (Total)

1
1
4
0
6

PAKISTAN

 

Balochistan

4
6
0
0
10

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

0
4
1
0
5

PAKISTAN (Total)

4
10
1
0
15

Total (South Asia)

9
11
5
2
27
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


AFGHANISTAN

Taliban bans Afghan Women from entering amusement parks in Kabul City: Taliban have recently prevented females from entering amusement parks in Kabul city. According to the Ministry of Vice and Virtue's verbal order, "women are prohibited from entering the park." Hasht-e Subh Daily, November 10, 2022.

SCO Head warns on terrorist exportation from Afghanistan: Evgeniy Sysoev, Head of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) counter-terrorism center, has warned of the deterioration of the situation in Afghanistan and the export of insecurity from this country to the region on November 9. He expressed concern about the deterioration of the situation in Afghanistan. Hasht-e Subh Daily, November 10, 2022.

INDIA

Explosion reported at railway tracks in Rajasthan: On November 13, an explosion took place on the railway tracks of the Asarwa Railway Station near Udaipur and following the incident the Union Railway Minister has said that the teams of the Anti-Terror Squad (ATS), National Investigation Agency (NIA) and the Railway Protection Force have reached the site and investigation is underway. However, no casualty is reported. Times Now, November 14, 2022.

Northeast witness 80% reduction in militancy-related incidents since 2014, 6000 militants surrendered, says Ministry of Home Affairs report: The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) on November 13 stated that tough steps taken against insurgency in the Northeast resulted in the surrender of 6,000 insurgents and an 80 per cent reduction in militancy related incidents since 2014 when the Narendra Modi government came to power at the Centre. A document released by the MHA said that security forces dismantled the "satellite camps" of insurgent groups operating from foreign soil following which at least four peace agreements have been signed with insurgent groups in Assam and Tripura (Bodo Accord, Karbi Accord, and Bru-Reang Refugee settlement and NLFT). Deccan Herald, November 14, 2022.

Drones from Pak border more than doubled in 2022, says BSF DG Pankaj Kumar Singh: The Border Security Force (BSF) Director General (DG) Pankaj Kumar Singh on November 12 said that BSF has been "bombarded" by the onslaught of drone flights from across the Pakistan border on the western front, and instances of the aerial vehicles bringing drugs, arms and ammunition more than doubled in 2022. Security Quantifying the enormity of the drone menace, the DG said while the BSF detected about 79 drone flights along the India-Pakistan International Border in 2020, it increased to 109 last year and "more than doubled at 266 this year". Daily Excelsior, November 14, 2022.

UHM Amit Shah heads IB meeting to discuss issues of national security: Union Home Minister (UHM) Amit Shah on November 9, headed a day-long meeting in Delhi of the Intelligence Bureau (IB) officers across the country to discuss issues regarding counter-terrorism, Left Wing Extremism (LWE) or Naxal, border matters, cyber security and technological upgradation. He assessed the internal security situation in the country, threats of terrorism and the need for coordination among central and state agencies. News Nine, November 10, 2022.

Dawood Ibrahim led D-Company has set up special unit to target politicians and businessmen, says NIA chargesheet: The National Investigation Agency (NIA), in its charge sheet filed before a special court in Mumbai, has claimed that Dawood Ibrahim led D-Company has set up a special unit to target politicians and businessmen and made available lethal weapons to be used against prominent personalities. Pune Times Mirror, November 9, 2022.

 

The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal

 
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