The Persistence of Strife,Consolidating the Peace :: South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR),Vol. No. 9.26
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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 9, No. 26, January 3, 2011

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal


ASSESSMENT

 

PAKISTAN
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Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: The Persistence of Strife
Tushar Ranjan Mohanty
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

At least 17 persons were killed and over 20 others injured when a suicide bomber rammed his explosives-laden vehicle into a hospital under construction in the Pas Kalay area of Hangu District in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP, formerly known as North West Frontier Province) on December 10, 2010. Local officials said the hospital, Al-Zohra, was run by a private Shia trust, which also operated a nearby Shia mosque and seminary.

Again, on December 14, three caretakers of the Ghazi Baba shrine, identified as Mohammad Ali, Ghazi and Aslam Khan, were shot dead by militants in the Badbher area of Peshawar, the Provincial capital of KP.

These were far from isolated incidents. According to partial data compiled by the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP), a total of 1,204 persons, including 597 civilians, 511 militants and 94 Security Force (SF) personnel, were killed in 213 incidents of killing in 2010 (all data till December 31). This, however, represented a dramatic decline in fatalities as against 2009, when 5,497 persons, including 3,797 militants, 1,229 civilians and 471 SF personnel were killed in 351 such incidents. This reflected a decline of 51.42 per cent in civilian killings, 80.04 per cent in SF killings and 86.54 per cent in terrorists killed in 2010, as against 2009.

Fatalities in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: 2009- 2010

Year
Civilians
SFs
Militants
Total
2005
2
0
2
4
2006
60
13
27
100
2007
393
221
372
986
2008
868
255
1078
2201
2009
1229
471
3797
5497
2010
597
94
511
1202
Source: SATP Database Data: Till December 31, 2010

The year witnessed 86 major incidents (each resulting in three or more killings) in 2010, as against 183 in 2009. Prominent among the major incidents of 2010 were:

December 8: A suicide bomber blew up a passenger van at a bus stand in Tirah bazaar (market) of Kohat in the Lower Orakzai Agency, killing 19 persons and injuring 32.

September 21: More than 42 militants were killed in ongoing operations against the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in the Frontier Region of Peshawar.

April 19: At least 24 people, including a child and Police official, were killed, and 49 were injured, in twin bombings, hours apart, at a school and a crowded market in Peshawar.

April 17: Two burqa (veil)-clad suicide bombers targeted a crowd of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) waiting to get themselves registered and receive relief goods at the Kacha Pakka IDP camp on the outskirts of Kohat, killing at least 44 and injuring more than 70

April 5: At least 45 persons were killed and over 100 sustained injuries when a suicide bomber blew himself up at a public meeting of the Awami National Party at the Timergara Rest House in Lower Dir District.

January 1: At least 90 persons were killed when a suicide bomber detonated an explosives-laden pickup truck in the middle of a volleyball game in the Shah Hasan Khel village of Lakki Marwat District in the Bannu Division of KP.

On December 8, 2010, KP Information Minister Iftikhar Hussain disclosed that 647 citizens and 298 Police personnel, and 157 terrorists were killed through 2010. He noted, further, that about 3,600 people had been killed and 1,200 had been injured, since 2007.

KP, like Pakistan’s three other Provinces (Balochistan, Sindh and Punjab), and the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), continued to experience rampant suicide and sectarian attacks. According to SATP data, a total of 489 persons were killed and 767 were injured in 26 suicide attacks in 2010, as compared to 503 persons killed and 1,221 injured in 47 incidents of suicide attacks in 2009, suggesting a significant surge in the lethality of such attacks. Pakistani Terrorism expert Amir Mir, on December 29, 2010, claimed that the year 2010 had proven to be the bloodiest, since 2001, for the people of Pakistan, in terms of suicide attacks, and this was true of the people of KP as well. Of the 1,271 persons who lost their lives in suicide hits in Pakistan in 2010, the largest number, 416, that is, 34 per cent of the total dead, were killed in KP in 25 attacks [Mir’s data]. These figures were confirmed by the report of the Federal Investigation Agency’s Counter-Terrorism Wing on November 28, 2010, which also disclosed that the Province had recorded a total of 141 bomb blasts during the year.

The Province, which has an extended history of sectarian violence, witnessed 139 fatalities in 12 incidents of sectarian attack, as compared to 108 fatalities in such attacks in 2009. The sectarian attacks included a mix of suicide attacks. Data on fatalities in sectarian violence over the past five years indicates a near continuous escalation, with the exception of 2007. Though the number of such attacks has fluctuated, fatalities have grown consistently over this period.

Worryingly, the Government seems to have lost the plot in tackling sectarian violence. On December 8, 2010, the KP Government declared almost half of the Province ‘sensitive’ and approved added security measures, involving deployment of the Army and helicopter gunships, to maintain law and order during Muharram (the mourning period observed by the Shias, commemorating the tragedy of Karbala). According to the Muharram Security Plan, 12 Districts were declared sensitive, requiring extraordinary security arrangements to be put in place. The Minister of Information, Mian Iftikhar Hussain stated that special measures were being taken to protect mosques and Imambargahs (Shia place of worship). In addition to the Police, he added, 109 platoons of the Frontier Reserve Police, 39 platoons of the Elite Force and 800 retired Army personnel were deployed in the sensitive areas. Similarly, 41 platoons of Frontier Constabulary and 1,500 personnel each of the Frontier Corps and Pakistan Army were deployed in the province according to the Plan. Despite all these arrangements, however, a suicide bomber blew up a passenger van at a bus stand in the Tirah bazaar incident of December 8, which left 19 dead. Within the span of a week, there were another three incidents of sectarian attack in different parts of KP, in which 24 persons lost their lives and 35 suffered injuries, making a mockery of the Government’s efforts to prevent sectarian violence.

While almost all the 24 Districts of the Province remain terrorism affected, it was the Swat and Peshawar Districts which bore the brunt of attacks. The fight against TTP terrorism in the Swat Valley is the principal element of the Pakistan Army’s offensive in KP. Since 2007, TTP terrorists, initially under the command of Maulana Fazlullah (he was eventually killed on May 26, 2010) had established effective control of Swat Valley. On April 26, 2009, the Pakistani Army started Operation Black Thunderstorm, with the aim of retaking Buner, Lower Dir, Swat and Shangla Districts in KP, from the TTP. On June 14, the operation was declared over, with the Army claiming it had ‘regained control’ of the region. Pockets of TTP resistance, nevertheless, remained, and the military continued with ‘mopping up’ operations. On October 8, 2009, General Officer Commanding (GOC) Major General Ashfaq Nadeem once again declared victory, claiming that peace had been restored to "95 per cent areas" of the District. On March 17, 2010, KP Minister of Information Mian Iftikhar Hussain ruled out the possibility that the TTP would reorganise in Swat: "The militants cannot dare reorganise. Their network has been smashed." However, Chief of Army Staff (CoAS) General Ashfaq Kayani, while on a visit to the valley on December 21, 2010, declared that the Army would stay on in Swat until the people’s confidence was restored. This is indicative of the fact that the valley, the epicentre of terror in KP, is still out of the reaches of the SFs, belying the often repeated false claims of the Government Forces. Significantly, the official ‘peace’ notwithstanding, at least 234 persons, including 194 militants, 35 civilians and five SF personnel lost their lives in 68 incidents of killing in 2010. This, however, was significantly lower than the 2,196 fatalities, including 1,913 militants, 190 civilians and 93 SF personnel in 175 incidents of killing in 2009. Meanwhile, a Government survey on January 6, 2010, reported that up to 8,000 houses were damaged in the Swat District during the preceding two years of militancy and military operations.

Peshawar, the provincial capital, recorded at least 135 fatalities in 35 incidents of killing in 2010, as compared to 434 fatalities in 49 incidents of killing in 2009. Of these, the April 17 suicide bombing at the Kacha Pakka IDP camp outside Kohat was the worst incident, leaving at least 44 dead. The city witnessed six suicide attacks, 46 incidents of explosion and 12 sectarian attacks.

The tourism sector in KP was badly affected by terrorism, and the Province suffered an estimated loss of USD 400 million. Worse, the damage caused by massive flooding in July- August was still to be fully assessed. Since the Federal Government earned 70 per cent of its revenue from the tourism sector in this province, they needed to pay out 50 million dollars per year to cover the loss in the Province. However, the Federal Government has failed to do so, according to KP Provincial Minister for Tourism, Culture and Sports Syed Aqil Shah. The floods in Pakistan began in July following heavy monsoon, and submerged wide swathes of territory in KP, Sindh, Punjab and Balochistan, affecting the entire Indus River basin. At one point, nearly a fifth of the country’s landmass was under water.

The violence in KP has had a disastrous impact on education. An October 6, 2010 media report quoted official sources as saying that 700 schools, most of them for girls, were targeted and damaged in different parts of KP over the preceding two years. Militants destroyed some 400 schools in the Swat Valley alone. Partial data compiled by the SATP indicates that at least 52 schools – 25 for Girls and 27 for boys – were destroyed in 33 incidents in 2009; while 37 – 18 for girls and 19 for boys – were destroyed in 30 such incidents in 2010. Such is the fear that at least 205 primary schools for girls have been shut down in different parts of KP, sources in the Elementary and Secondary Education (E&SE) disclosed. These included 21 in Peshawar, 36 in Thor Ghar, 54 in Swat, 16 in Bannu, 56 in Shangla, 16 in Hangu, five in Dera Ismail Khan and one in Kohat. The closure of these schools has deprived thousands of girl students of education in a region where women suffer multiple and crushing disadvantages. Significantly, a wider campaign was also launched by the extremists to destroy institutions that propagated any ideas opposed to the Maulana Fazalullah led TTP in Swat. Unsurprisingly, TTP militants targeted schools across KP.

Ominously, there is visible evidence of linkages between the militants, sections of the wider population and Government officials. 29 officials in the KP Education Department were sacked for their alleged links with militants on January 22, 2010. Another 68 suspected officials were being investigated for their alleged involvement in such activities. On January 26, 2010, the KP Government had sacked 55 employees for their links with the TTP. Again, on March 3, 2010, the KP Education Department terminated the services of five teachers in Lower Dir for their alleged links with the TTP.

On January 7, 2010, Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani had unveiled a relief package for the militancy-affected areas of KP, announcing tax concessions, rebates in duties and relief in utility bills – in addition to allocating an additional one per cent share to the Province from the Federal Divisible Pool. Under the relief package, the province was to be divided into three categories: areas ‘worst affected’, ‘affected’ and ‘least affected’ by militancy. Malakand, Swat, Buner, Shangla, and Upper and Lower Dir from PATA; and Hangu, Bannu, Tank, Kohat and Chitral from settled areas, were categorised as the worst affected areas. The Federal Government announced an exemption from income tax, until June 30, 2011, for areas falling in ‘the worst affected’ and ‘affected’ categories. The Chief Minister (CM) Ameer Haider Hoti, on February 4, 2010, approved the creation of an institutional framework to provide support to the victims of terrorism. A Press statement from the CM’s House declared, "The Chief Minister has, in principle, approved the establishment of an institute for the welfare of such affected families." The Prime Minister had already announced the provision of PNR 50 million for the fund.

The impact of the relief packages has been dubious at best, and terrorist disruption continues, with the militants simply moving from one place to another. KP Police Chief Malik Naveed Khan, on April 9, 2010, stated that Kala Dhaka had emerged as the new base for the TTP, who had fled the 2009 Army operations in Swat and other Districts in Malakand. He expressed concern over the new base of the TTP’s Swat chapter, fearing it could make a comeback if not immediately contained. Again, on June 27, 2010, KP Information Minister Mian Iftikhar Hussain conceded that the TTP was in the process of reorganising itself around Peshawar, and was planning to carry out major attacks in the city. "Thousands of terrorists may be gathering in small groups around the areas adjacent to Orakzai Agency, Mohmand Agency and Khyber Agency of FATA", he stated. Federal Minister of Interior Rehman Malik, meanwhile, told the Senate that some 1,800 suspected terrorists had been arrested from different parts of KP on various charges during military operations, and that 12 teams were investigating charges against them.

The massive and indiscriminate Army operations in KP have certainly impacted on the scale and intensity of militancy – even as they have inflicted enormous suffering on the general population in the Province. The many premature declarations of victory by Islamabad notwithstanding, the TTP remains a major force in the region, constantly shifting base and reinventing its strategy and tactics to cope with the military onslaught against it. Like much of Pakistan, the possibility of an enduring peace remain remote in KP.

INDIA
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Tripura: Consolidating the Peace
Anshuman Behera
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

The gradual consolidation of peace in North-Eastern State of Tripura, which began with the decimation of the enduring insurgencies in 2008, continued strengthened further in 2010. The State, once engulfed in violence, is almost terror free now. However, remnants of militants groups remain unprepared to give up arms, and are able to engineer occasional acts of violence.

On December 8, 2010, for instance, militants belonging to the National Liberation Front of Tripura (NLFT) attacked a temporary shed of labourers at Govindabari village of Dhalai District and abducted 11 construction workers at gunpoint. On December 9, two of the abducted workers were released, but the whereabouts of the others are yet to be ascertained. Police sources suggest, "The NLFT rebels might have taken the captives into neighbouring Bangladeshi territory as the India-Bangladesh border is just four kilometres from the spot (where the abduction occurred)." According to the villagers, the NLFT militants had earlier demanded ‘subscriptions’, which the villagers did not pay. The December incident reflects the principal pattern of surviving militant activity in the State, with the insurgent groups struggling to recover vestiges of what was once a massive extortion network.

The trend of declining fatalities, however, continued into 2010. According to the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) database, total fatalities in 2010 stood at just three, including two Security Forces (SF) personnel and one militant. In 2009, 11 persons, including nine civilians, one Security Force (SF) trooper and one militant, were killed in 2009. Remarkably, not a single civilian was killed in 2010. At the peak of insurgency in Tripura, in 2000, this tiny State of under 3.2 million people witnessed as many as 514 insurgency-related killings, including 453 civilians,16 SF personnel, and 45 militants.

The three fatalities in 2010 occurred in two separate incidents. On August 6, 2010, two Border Security Force (BSF) personnel were killed in an improvised explosive device (IED) blast triggered by the NLFT in the Ratia area under the Chawmanu Police Station of Dhalai District. On April 6, 2010, the body of a Bru National Liberation Front (BNLF) militant, identified as Thankima, was recovered inside Tripura near the Mizoram border in the last week of March 2010. Police is investigating the case to find who had killed Thankima. According to Police, Thankima was the main accused in the killing of one Zarzokima, a 17-year-old Mizo youth of Bungthuam village, in Mamit District in western Mizoram on November 13, 2009. The Mizoram Police had then arrested six persons in connection with the Bungthuam killing which had triggered communal violence between Mizos and Brus, forcing hundreds of Brus to flee to the neighbouring Tripura.

Militancy-related fatalities in Tripura, 2005-2010

Year
Incidents
Civilians
SFs
Militants
Total
2005
115
28
11
21
60
2006
87
14
14
22
50
2007
94
14
06
19
39
2008
116
7
4
17
28
2009
61
9
1
1
11
2010
46
0
2
1
3

Source: SATP, Data till December 31, 2010

There were also some small recoveries of arms and ammunition. On March 13, 2010, the SFs recovered two locally made guns and ammunitions from two separate locations of the South District. A locally made gun, AK-47 ammunition and 19 ‘tax collection’ receipts of the NLFT were found in the Khambar Para area. The Police also recovered a locally made gun during a search operation in the house of Sanjit Reang (37) in the Dashamani Para area.

Only three militants were reported to have been arrested in 2010. Both of these belonged to NLFT and were arrested from the North District. In 2009, the number of militants arrested was 20.

With the insurgencies withering, militant cadres continued to surrender to the SFs. In 2010, as many as 127 militants – NLFT (79), All Tripura Tiger Force (ATTF, 28) and Bru Liberation Front of Mizoram (BLFM, 20) – surrendered in 33 incidents. By comparison, 243 militants surrendered in 2009 – ATTF (43), NLFT (77), Borok National Council of Tripura (BNCT, 119) and unidentified (2). Among the most significant surrenders of 2010 were:

October 12: Six NLFT cadres surrendered to the Assam Rifles in West District. However, the cadres did not deposit any arms or ammunition.

August 11: 16 NLFT cadres deserted their camps in Bangladesh and surrendered before troopers at Manikpur in Dhalai District and at Kanchanpur in North District.

July 2: At least 13 ATTF militants surrendered before the Assam Rifles in Agartala.

June 24: The 10 NLFT militants escaped from their camps in different places of Bangladesh and crossed over to India and surrendered before the BSF and Assam Rifles troopers in different places of Tripura.

On October 27, Chief Minister Manik Sarkar urged people to motivate youth who had taken to militancy to shun the path of violence and return to normal life. "Hundreds of tribal youth have left militancy over the past few years. The state Government has provided economic resettlement to them (surrendered militants)," Sarkar said, while addressing a gathering at Tamakari tribal village in West Tripura District. Sarkar disclosed, "Some Government employees had also joined militancy and subsequently surrendered. The Tripura Government has returned their jobs to them. This is never done in other States in India." The Chief Minister reiterated his appeal to the militants to give up the path of violence and join the mainstream. "Come and join your family, we would help you in all matters."

A continuous stream of surrenders and the sense of entitlement the surrender scheme has generated in surrendered cadres over the years, have, however, led to some administrative problems, with surrendered militants complaining about delays in their promised resettlement. This was highlighted when, on March 24, 2010, over 1,200 surrendered cadres of NLFT and ATTF launched a 72-hour hunger strike demonstration in Tripura, asking the Government to rehabilitate all former insurgents.

While major militant groups such as the ATTF and BNCT have become virtually inactive, the NLFT continues to make its presence felt, particularly through incidents of extortion and abduction. The most significant incidents of 2010 included:

September 11: Three NLFT militants were arrested by the BSF from North District along India-Bangladesh border. The militants said that they fled from Bangladesh base camps.

August 30: The NLFT has abducted five tribals from remote Shukraichari area under Gandacherra sub-division of Dhalai District.

August 6: Two BSF personnel were killed in an IED blast triggered by the NLFT militants in the Ratia area under Chawmanu Police station of Dhalai District.

May 24: A group of NLFT militants clashed with Tripura State Rifles (TSR) personnel at Satraipara under Manikpur Police outpost in Dhalai District.

May 22: A group of 10 NLFT militants stormed Shermoon village under Kanchanpur sub-division of North District and demanded 20 per cent of wages from 123 National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA) workers. The militants later left the area after an encounter with troopers of the 9th Battalion of the TSR.

April 20: Six suspected armed militants of the NLFT abducted a person, Sankar Bijoy Chakma, of Apanbooli village in Dhalai District.

Meanwhile, the ATTF suffered vertical split in 2010. Three top leaders of the outfit – its self styled ‘president’ Ranjit Debbarma, armed wing chief Chitta Debbarma and ‘central committee member’ Rahul Debbarma, were ousted from the outfit in a coup led by Sachin Reang on December 26, 2010. Sachin Reang, assumed the title of ‘acting president’ and, in a phone call to media organizations on December 26, declared, "Ranjit Debbarma, Chitta Debbarma and Rahul Debbarma were indulging in large scale financial corruption and acting like dictators. Serious allegations of their indulging in luxurious lifestyle and spending funds for personal benefits were raised in our general meeting recently. They were unmindful of the sufferings of the Tripuri communities. They acted in such a manner that severely affected the morale of the cadres and forced them to surrender." He also claimed that the ousted ‘president’ Ranjit Debabarma and his minions had embezzled at least INR 100 million. This is the first time since its foundation in 1992 that the ATTF has suffered a split. The change in leadership could lead to changes in the outfit’s structure and some violence. Significantly, Sachin Reang has declared himself against the surrender of ATTF cadres.

Successful counter-insurgency operations over the years have brought peace to Tripura. Lingering irritants persist, but they have little potential for a revival of the widespread violence and disruption that once afflicted the State. Tripura is, indeed, a model exceptional counter-insurgency success, and one that other States in India, as well as other countries across the world, could learn much from.


NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
December 27, 2010-January 2, 2011

 

Civilians

Security Force Personnel

Terrorists/Insurgents

Total

BANGLADESH

  

Left-wing Extremism

0
0
1
1

INDIA

  

Jammu and Kashmir

0
2
1
3

Manipur

0
2
1
3

Left-wing Extremism

  

Bihar

1
0
0
1

Jharkhand

0
0
1
1

Maharashtra

1
0
0
1

Odisha

0
1
7
8

Total (INDIA)

2
5
10
17

NEPAL

0
0
1
1

PAKISTAN

  

Balochistan

4
1
0
5

FATA

1
1
117
119

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

1
0
8
9

Sindh

2
3
5
10

Total (PAKISTAN)

8
5
130
143
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


INDIA


Over 7,000 people killed in violence in Jammu and Kashmir in last 10 years: A total of 7,031 civilians and Security Force personnel have lost their lives due to violence in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) in the last 10 years. "4,812 civilians and 2,219 Security Force personnel have lost their lives since 2001 to August 2010 in Jammu and Kashmir," the Union Home Ministry said in reply to a Right to Information (RTI) query. Daily Excelsior, January 2, 2011.

NIA files chargesheet against 18 SIMI cadres: The National Investigation Agency (NIA) on December 30 filed a chargesheet against 18 cadres of the banned outfit Student Islamic Movement of India (SIMI) in a Kerala court for allegedly conspiring to advocate, incite and abet unlawful activities for secession of Kashmir from India. The NIA filed the chargesheet in connection with a secret meeting held by the SIMI activists in Panayuikkulam near Kochi on August 15, 2006 where they allegedly planned to wage war against India through various means. Times of India, December 31, 2010.

LeT ‘commander’ masterminded stone pelting from Rajouri, indicate reports: A Rajouri based Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) ‘commander’ has turned out to be a mastermind of engineering stone pelting in Kashmir in 2010 summer and was reportedly preparing another brigade of youth in different parts of the Valley to create trouble in June 2011. Sajjad Ahmed Khan alias Shamas, a resident of Firdousabad in the Batmaloo area of Srinagar District, operating in Thanna Mandi area of Rajouri District, engineered stone pelting in several parts of Srinagar especially Batmaloo by mobilizing youth to join the brigade of stone pelters after making them handsome payments through hawala (illegal money transfer) operators of Rajouri District. Daily Excelsior, December 31, 2010.

Kashmiri militants-Naxalites nexus exposed: A serious attempt is being made to forge a nexus between Kashmiri militants and Naxalites [Left Wing Extremists] with a so-called "noted human rights activist’’ of the country playing a notorious role to bring the both groups closer reportedly "at the behest of Pakistan’’."The ‘human rights [HR] activist’ and some militant ‘commanders’ in Kashmir were under strict surveillance. The HR activist has come under the radar of Intelligence agencies and some of his calls to the separatists have been intercepted’’, official sources confirmed. The henchmen of the HR activist have also established a direct contact with Pakistan backed militants of Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) and Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM) in the Kashmir valley. Daily Excelsior, December 30, 2010.

Slight increase in Maoist violence in Andhra Pradesh, says report: Although Left Wing Extremism (LWE) in Andhra Pradesh was under effective check during the year, it has again showed an upward trend this year with a slight increase in its level with the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) continued to remain active in Visakhapatnam and Khammam Districts bordering Chhattisgarh and Odisha. "Of the 54 Maoist-related incidents in 2010, the maximum were reported from Visakhapatnam and Khammam," according to the data released by Director General of Police (DGP) K Aravinda Rao at the Annual Press Conference of the State Police in Hyderabad city on December 30. Against 17 persons killed by Maoists last year, 2009, the deaths went up to 21 in 2010. The Hindu, December 31, 2010.

Andhra Pradesh urges Centre to declare seven more Districts as Naxal-hit : Chief Minister (CM) N Kiran Kumar Reddy has urged the Centre to declare the border Districts of Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, East Godavari, Adilabad, Karimnagar and Warangal as Naxal [Left wing Extremism (LWE)]-affected. His plea also calls for central funds for these Districts under the Special Development Plan (SDP). As of now, Khammam and Vishakhapatnam are identified as Naxal-affected, but only Khammam has been getting the SDP funds, which amounted to INR three billion in 2010. Times of India, December 27, 2010.

Myanmar re-assures action against North-east militants: India and Myanmar, on December 30, ratified the Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty on criminal matters. Myanmar Government like in the past assured India of actions against the militant groups including ULFA, NSCN and Manipuri militants. Sources said India sought cooperation from Myanmar on flushing out the militants operating out of the country. Assam Tribune, January 1, 2011.

Rights activist Binayak Sen awarded life term for sedition: Chhattisgarh-based rights activist Binayak Sen was convicted of colluding with the Communist Part of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) to fight the State and handed a life term on December 24. The Raipur court also awarded life sentences to co-accused Maoist leader Narayan Sanyal (80) and Calcutta-based businessmen Piyush Guha (30) declaring all three guilty of sedition and conspiracy. Telegraph India, December 28, 2010.

51 top Maoist leaders arrested in Bihar in 2010: Altogether 51 senior cadres of the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) have been arrested by Bihar Police up to November 2010, according to official sources. These included seven ‘zonal commanders’, 10 ‘sub-zonal commanders’ and 13 ‘area commanders’. The Police also seized 17,995 kilograms of explosive, 1.96 lakh detonators, 83 landmines and several bombs besides INR.3.525 million in cash during operations against the Maoists. Security Forces (SF) also recovered 130 weapons, 12 of them looted from Policemen, and over 8,200 different kinds of ammunition from the cadres. Altogether 166 Maoist-related incidents occurred in Bihar up to November, 2010 and the Police were engaged in encounters with Maoists at 21 places. Eight Maoist bunkers were also neutralised. A total of 14 Maoists surrendered before the SF personnel during the encounter. Maoists have also blasted 15 Government buildings including Police posts, community centres, schools and block offices in 2010, the sources added. The Hindu, December 30, 2010.

ULFA ready for peace talks without preconditions, says ‘chairman’ Arabinda Rajkhowa: ULFA ‘chairman’ Arabinda Rajkhowa said his outfit was ready to sit for peace talks without any preconditions for an "honourable" solution to relieve the people of Assam of their suffering. "A new chapter begins in our long struggle. As per the wishes of the National Convention, we will sit for peace talks with the government without preconditions," the ULFA leader said. He did not mention the outfit's core demand of sovereignty. Rajkhowa was released from Guwahati Central jail on January 1 after he was granted bail by the designated TADA court. PTI News, January 2, 2011.


PAKISTAN

117 militants and one civilian among 119 persons killed during the week in FATA: Three US missile strikes hours apart killed 18 persons in a militant stronghold near the Afghanistan border in North Waziristan Agency (NWA) of Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) on January 1. In addition, at least 11 suspected militants were killed in two US drone attacks in NWA. One of the drone attacks fired four missiles at a house and vehicle in Mir Ali tehsil (revenue unit).

US drone missile attack killed at least four militants when it targeted a vehicle in Ghulam Khan Town of NWA close to the Afghanistan border on December 31.

At least 25 militants were killed and 18 others injured when helicopter gunships targeted their hideouts in Chinarak area of Kurram Agency on December 30. Also, seven militants were killed and three others sustained injuries when two group of militants clashed with each other in Marandi area of Kurram Agency.

The Security Forces (SFs) targeted militant hideouts in the Chinarak area of Kurram Agency near the Afghan border, killing seven Tehreek-e-Taliban (TTP) militants, injuring many others and destroying three hideouts, including an ammunition depot on December 29.

At least 18 persons, mostly militants, were killed in US drone attacks in the NWA on December 28.

US drones fired six missiles on three vehicles at Shera Tala village in between Mir Ali and Thall areas of NWA on December 27, killing 25 militants and injuring four others. Dawn; Daily Times; The News, December 28, 2010-January 3, 2011 .

Pakistan witnessed highest number of reporters killed in 2010, reports Reporters Without Borders: Pakistan was the deadliest country for reporters where 11 reporters were killed in 2010, International media watchdog Reporters Without Borders said on December 30. A total of 57 journalists were killed worldwide this year, the group said, adding that fewer reporters were being killed in war zones while more were targeted by criminals or traffickers. Daily Times, December 31, 2010.

UAE tries two Pakistanis on al Qaeda links: Two Pakistani brothers, accused of collecting money and recruiting jihadis (holy fighter) for al Qaeda, have gone on trial in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), according to a The National report. The Pakistanis, who appeared in court on December 27, and charged with "running a jihadi organisation and aiding and abetting al Qaeda", has confessed to having links with the jihadi network, the court was told. The report only identified the suspects as "AkW", a 49-year-old project manager, and "AsW", a 43-year-old marketing manager, and said they arrived in the Gulf emirate in 2008. Daily Times, December 28, 2010.

Terrorists on Afghanistan Pakistan border team up against US and allied forces: Rival militant outfits on both sides of the Afghanistan-Pakistan border have increasingly been teaming up in raids against United States (US) and allied forces. New intelligence assessments from the region assert that militant factions now are setting aside their historic rivalries to behave like "a syndicate," joining forces in ways not seen before. Indian Express, December 29, 2010.

Former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto's assassination plot was laid out at Brigadier's home, alleges report: The plot behind the December 27, 2007 assassination of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto was laid out at the home of a Pakistani Army Brigadier, reveals a media report. A fresh probe uncovered the role of nine persons, including the Brigadier in whose residence the plot was hatched. The probe’s findings are in the possession of Interior Minister Rehman Malik and had been seen only by President Asif Ali Zardari in its entirety. However, the Interior Minister Rehman Malik dismissed the report. Indian Express, January 1, 2011.

Anti-terror laws need to be tightened, says Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani: Prime Minister (PM) Yousuf Raza Gilani on December 31 stressed the need for improving the country’s anti-terror laws because "thousands of terrorists, who were apprehended by law enforcement agencies, had been bailed out from courts and had again indulged in terrorist activities". Prime Minister said that ineffective anti-terror laws were making it easy for terrorists to get bails from courts and resume their activities. He subsequently called on Parliament to outline effective anti-terror laws that could prevent terror suspects from getting relief. Daily Times, January 1, 2011.


SRI LANKA


Government declares to expedite release of former LTTE cadres following rehabilitation: The Sri Lankan Government declared that steps would be taken to expedite the release of detained cadres of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) after their rehabilitation. Rehabilitation and Prison Reforms Minister Chandrasiri Gajadeera said that the Government was considering necessary measures to release the remaining LTTE detainees at the earliest. The Minister added that 7000 former LTTE cadres have already been released after being rehabilitated. Colombo Page, December 26, 2010.


The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

South Asia Intelligence Review [SAIR]

Publisher
K. P. S. Gill

Editor
Dr. Ajai Sahni


A Project of the
Institute For Conflict Management


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