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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 8, No. 14, October 12, 2009

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal


ASSESSMENT

 

AFGHANISTAN
INDIA
PAKISTAN
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Assassins from the Epicentre
Kanchan Lakshman
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management; Assistant Editor, Faultlines: Writings on Conflict & Resolution

A suicide car bomber attacked the Indian embassy in Kabul on October 8, 2009, killing 17 persons and injuring more than 70 others. The car bombing ripped through a street in the city centre during the morning rush hour, killing and injuring bystanders, almost all of them Afghans. The highly-fortified mission’s wall was damaged and a watch tower destroyed in the blast, which occurred near the outer perimeter at around 0827 hours. India’s Ambassador to Afghanistan, Jayant Prasad, said the "Indian Embassy was the target" but the suicide bomber failed to breach the security perimeter. While no Indian was killed in the attack, three Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) personnel sustained minor injuries. This is the second terrorist attack on the Indian mission in 15 months, and the fourth attack in the embattled Afghan capital, Kabul, since August 2009.

The Taliban was swift in claiming responsibility for the attack. Quoting the Taliban Website, Al Jazeera channel identified the suicide bomber as Khalid. Al Jazeera also said Afghan Government and intelligence sources have indicated the involvement of a ‘foreign hand’ in the suicide bombing, describing it as "planned by a state and not a group of bandits", an unambiguous reference to Pakistan. The Afghan Foreign Ministry said the attack "was planned and implemented from outside of Afghan borders" by the same groups responsible for the July 7, 2008, suicide bombing at the Indian Embassy that killed 60 people, including 4 Indians.

Intelligence sources said the swiftness in claiming the attack was a ploy to keep the focus away from the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), Pakistan’s external intelligence agency, whose involvement in the July 2008 blast near the Indian Embassy has been confirmed by American, Afghan and Indian intelligence sources. The Taliban is simply attempting to camouflage and ‘protect’ its biggest benefactor in the region. The Afghan envoy to the US, Said T. Jawad, has clearly declared that the ISI was behind the latest attack on the Indian Embassy in Kabul: "We are pointing the finger at the Pakistan intelligence agency, based on the evidence on the ground and similar attack taking place in Afghanistan."

India has, so far, made no attribution of blame for the suicide attack. However, India’s Foreign Secretary Nirupama Rao did mention in New Delhi after returning from Kabul that "the attack was clearly the handiwork of those who are desperate to undermine Indo-Afghan friendship and do not believe in a strong, democratic and pluralistic Afghanistan." Pakistan and its militant-ISI network is the only force which fits this description.

It is still unclear at this point in time as to which Taliban faction had claimed responsibility for the attack, though there is a strong possibility, based on past trajectory and current intelligence, that the network of Jalaluddin Haqqani, a pro-Taliban warlord with close links to al Qaeda, and whose Pakistan-backed militants are battling US troops in eastern Afghanistan, had a role in the attack. The Haqqani network is, in fact, among the most likely suspects behind the recent string of suicide bombings in capital Kabul. While no militant group had claimed the July 2008 Indian Embassy bombing, India and the US had recovered substantial evidence which indicated that the attack was orchestrated by the Haqqani network at the behest of the ISI. Jalaluddin’s son, Sirajuddin Haqqani, is reported to have had a big role in executing that attack.

India remains an important target of the Pakistan-backed militant enterprise because of its large presence in Afghanistan. India has a huge assistance programme for Afghanistan’s reconstruction. Since the Taliban regime’s defeat in 2002, New Delhi has pledged over USD 1.2 billion in aid to conflict-ravaged Afghanistan, making India the fifth largest donor nation to the country after the US, Britain, Japan and Canada.

The Indian involvement in Afghanistan is gradually increasing. There are approximately 4,000-5,000 Indian nationals working on several reconstruction projects across the war ravaged country. According to the Indian Embassy at Kabul, "India has undertaken projects virtually in all parts of Afghanistan, in a wide range of sectors including hydro-electricity, power transmission lines, road construction, agriculture and industry, telecommunications, information and broadcasting, education and health, which have been identified by the Afghan Government as priority areas for development." In the near future, reports indicate that India is contemplating building "an industrial estate which will generate much-needed employment for the local population. There is also talk of Indian involvement in food processing, which addresses rural farmlands and a long-term plan to inhibit poppy cultivation."

All of this and Pakistan’s more insidious ambition of regaining strategic depth in Afghanistan have rendered Islamabad insecure. Consequently, it has resorted to lobbying diplomatically against India’s presence in Afghanistan and using the Taliban to physically attack Indian interests. Plainly, Pakistan doesn't want any Indian presence in the region.

Over the years, Pakistan has persistently attempted to block India’s capacity-building initiatives in Afghanistan. Pakistan had, for instance, disallowed heavy equipment meant for an electricity project to travel through its territory. While this reportedly led to one of the largest airlifts in the region, India overcame other odds to build, in four years, a 202-kilometre transmission line to bring electricity to power-starved Kabul.

Since 2002, the Taliban has demanded the departure of all Indians working on various developmental projects in Afghanistan. These demands have been backed by targeted terrorist action against Indians. In the most recent of these, before the latest Embassy bombing, Simon Paramanathan, an Indian from Villupuram in Tamil Nadu, working for Italian food chain Ciano International, who was held captive by terrorists for nearly four months, was found dead on February 9, 2009. Before the July 2008 Embassy bombing, an ITBP trooper was killed and four others injured by the Taliban in the south-west Province of Nimroz on June 5, 2008. Two Indians, M.P. Singh and C. Govindaswamy, personnel of the Indian Army’s Border Roads Organisation (BRO), were killed and seven persons, including five BRO personnel, sustained injuries, in a suicide-bomb attack in Nimroz on April 12, 2008. In the first-ever suicide attack on Indians in Afghanistan, two ITBP soldiers were killed and five injured at Razai village in Nimroz on January 3, 2008. On December 15, 2007, two bombs were lobbed into the Indian consulate in Jalalabad, capital of Nangarhar Province. There was however, no casualty or damage. On May 7, 2006, an explosion occurred near the Indian Consulate in Herat Province, without causing any casualties. In April 2006, K. Suryanarayana, working with a Gulf-based company, was abducted and killed by Taliban militants, allegedly on orders from the ISI. Further, on February 7, 2006, Bharat Kumar, an Indian engineer working with a Turkish company, was killed in a bomb attack by the Taliban in the western province of Farah. On November 19, 2005, Ramankutty Maniyappan, a 36-year old BRO employee, was abducted, and his decapitated body was found on a road between Zaranj, capital of Nimroz, and an area called Ghor Ghori, four days later. Following his abduction, Taliban spokesperson Qari Yusuf Ahmadi had claimed that they had given the BRO an ultimatum to leave Afghanistan within 48 hours, failing which they would behead Maniyappan. Nimroz is the location, among others, of the strategic 215-kilometre Zarang-Delaram Highway Project executed by India. In addition, there were two attacks in November and December 2003 in one of which an Indian engineer was killed.

India and its role in the reconstruction of Afghanistan has always been opposed by the establishment in Pakistan, as well as by the Taliban–al Qaeda combine, and threat perceptions at India’s mission in Kabul, and at the multiplicity of Indian developmental projects in Afghanistan, have always been high. The vulnerability of Indian establishments in Kabul is further augmented by the fact that Kabul itself continues to be highly susceptible to terrorist attacks, including suicide bombings. As India’s presence in Afghanistan continues to grow, it is inevitable that Indian installations will come under sustained attack – both diplomatically and physically.

Over the past few months, both in the run-up to the Presidential elections and in the aftermath of an evidently controversial poll, the Taliban had vowed to augment their attacks, including suicide bombings, clearly demonstrating an intensification of the militant campaign. Indeed, the attack on the Indian Embassy comes within the context of spiraling violence in Afghanistan.

The New York Times reported in September 2009, that Taliban leaders, aided by the ISI, are using their sanctuary in Pakistan to stoke a widening campaign of violence in northern and western Afghanistan. The Taliban’s leadership council, led by Mullah Muhammad Omar and operating around Quetta, capital of Balochistan province, was directly responsible for a wave of violence in the once relatively placid parts of northern and western Afghanistan, the US daily said, citing unnamed senior American military and intelligence officials. It cited American officials as stating that they believed the Taliban leadership in Pakistan still gets support from sections of the ISI. American officials, it noted, have long complained that senior Taliban leaders operating from Quetta provide money, military supplies and strategic planning guidance to the Taliban in the south of Afghanistan, where most of the nearly 68,000 American forces are deployed. The U.S. commander of foreign forces in Afghanistan, General Stanley McChrystal, in an assessment leaked in the last week of September 2009, had also stated that the Afghan insurgency was clearly supported from Pakistan. "Senior leaders of the major Afghan insurgent groups are based in Pakistan, linked to al Qaeda and other violent extremist groups, and are reportedly aided by some elements of Pakistan's ISI". He identified the Quetta shura as the biggest threat to the US-led mission in Afghanistan.

The Taliban has clearly been working in tandem with the Pakistan Army and the ISI to combat NATO troops in the south of Afghanistan and simultaneously increase attacks against allied troops elsewhere in the country to ease pressure in the south. Secretary of Defence Robert Gates declared at the George Washington University on October 5, 2009, "The thing to remember about Afghanistan is, that country and particularly the Afghan-Pakistan border is the modern epicentre of jihad."

Amidst all of this entrenched subversion, Pakistan continues to spread false propaganda about the ‘large’ Indian consulates in Afghanistan being a source of insecurity for Islamabad. Dismissing a question on Pakistan’s perceived concerns about the activities of Indian consulates in Afghanistan, U.S. Special Envoy Richard Holbrooke said in April 2009 that, "Pakistanis have told me for a long time that India has hundreds of people in its consulate in Kandahar, in Afghanistan. I asked Americans and U.N. people how big the Indian consulate was in Kandahar and they said six or eight people. You know I am not worried about that." And further, in an interview with Geo News channel at the U.S. State Department in Washington, Holbrooke added, "Pakistan does not have to worry about India in Afghanistan. They need to worry about the miscreants in western Pakistan… Now if the Indians were supporting those miscreants that would be extraordinarily bad [and] really dangerous. But they’re not. There is no evidence at all that the Indians are supporting the miscreants in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas or North West Frontier Province or Waziristan. None." He noted that India has been playing a key role in the reconstruction of the war-ravaged country: "India has given Afghanistan about $1 billion in assistance. They’re rebuilding the Parliament building, they’ve built a very useful road in the south-western part of the country leading down towards Iran. They’re training agricultural experts, they’re giving scholarships. The Indians have published a pamphlet on what they’re doing. I don’t think that should be cause of concern for Pakistan."

The dangers of anarchy within Afghanistan and across areas along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border are predominantly sourced in Pakistan, to a far greater extent than in war-ravaged Afghanistan. The Taliban–al Qaeda combine and transnational jihadi groups based within Pakistan remain the principal instrumentalities of Islamabad’s response to India’s deepening engagement in Afghanistan. The Pakistan-backed terrorist network will surely attack more Indian targets in Afghanistan in the future. India, however, has clearly declared its intention not to waver from its commitment to reconstruction and capacity building in Afghanistan.

INDIA
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Floundering in a Long War
Ajit Kumar Singh
Research Associate, Institute for Conflict Management

Prepare and mobilize the entire Party, PLGA [People’s Liberation Guerrilla Army] and the people for carrying out tactical counter-offensives and various forms of armed resistance and inflict severe losses to the enemy forces; attacks should be organized with meticulous planning against the State's khaki [Police] and olive-clad terrorist forces [Security Forces], SPOs [Special Police officers], police informants, and other counter-revolutionaries and enemies of the people; these attacks should be carried out in close coordination with, and in support of, the armed resistance of the masses; these should be linked to the seizure of political power and establishment of base areas; it is the combined attacks by all the three wings of the PLGA and the people at large that can ensure the defeat of the enemy offensive."
"Post-Election Situation – Our Tasks", Politburo,
Communist Party of India – Maoist (CPI-Maoist), June 12, 2009

While the state vacillates, flails and flounders, the Maoists have focused on carrying out their Politburo’s vision with little dithering or delay. In the latest incident, on October 8, Maoist cadres killed at least 18 Policemen, in an ambush in the dense forests near Laheri Police Station of Gadchiroli District in Maharashtra. The dead include 10 commandos of the Maharashtra Police, as well as six constables and a sub-inspector, Chandrasekhar Deshmukh, from the Laheri Police station. The incident occurred when a 40 member Police party came under heavy fire from 150 to 200 Maoists at about 1:00 pm (IST). The Police force was returning after a search operation following intelligence inputs that the Maoists had assembled in the area. The Additional Superintendent of Police M.K. Sharma claimed that the Police managed to kill 15-17 Maoists, though no bodies were recovered. There was no independent verification of the claim.

Earlier, on October 7, the Maoists brutally beheaded a civilian at Kurkheda in the same District, suspecting him to be a Police informer. The beheading was carried out a day after the Jharkhand Police recovered the decapitated dead body of Police Inspector Francis Enduwar, who had been abducted on September 30.

On October 1-2, 16 civilians, including five children, were shot dead by suspected CPI-Maoist cadres at Amosi Bharen Diara village in the Khagaria District of Bihar late in the night of October 1, a top Police official said on October 2.

In an attack launched by personnel of the Central Reserve Police Force’s (CRPF’s) Combat Battalion for Resolute Action (CoBRA) and the Chhattisgarh Police in the night of September 17 in the Dantewada District of Chhattisgarh, Assistant Commandants of CoBRA, Manoranjan Singh, and Rakesh Chaurasia, as well as another four SF personnel were killed by the Maoists. In subsequent operations on September 18-19, 10 dead bodies of the Maoists were also recovered. The Police claimed that at least 24 Maoist cadres had been killed, though there was no independent verification. The botched operation, part of the wider ‘Operation Green Hunt’, lasted for 48 hours.

On July 12, cadres of the CPI-Maoist killed 30 Police personnel, including a Superintendent of Police (SP), in two incidents in the Rajnandgaon District of Chhattisgarh.

On June 20, 12 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) personnel were killed in a landmine blast triggered by CPI-Maoist cadres at Tonagapal in Dantewada District of Chhattisgarh. The Maoists also opened fire at the ambushed patrol, but the troopers instantly retaliated, killing seven insurgents, whose bodies were recovered.

On June 12, CPI-Maoist cadres detonated a landmine in the Nawadih area of Bokaro District in Jharkhand, killing at least 11 SF personnel and injuring eight

According to the South Asia Terrorism Portal Database, a total of 788 persons (261 civilians, 293 SF personnel and 234 extremists) had been killed in 2009, till the time of writing. At least 74 major incidents of violence [incidents in which three or more people were killed] involving Maoists had been reported during this period. 366 persons, including 138 civilians, 124 SFs and 104 Maoists, have been killed after June 12, when the Maoists decided to escalate their ‘people’s war’.

Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram has now accepted that Left Wing Extremists (LWE) have some influence in over 2,000 Police Station jurisdictions across 223 Districts in 20 States in the country. The data confirms Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s repeated assertion that the Maoists have emerged as the country’s gravest internal security challenge.

Acknowledging that the Maoists are getting significant support from the people, Senior Superintendent of Police (SSP), Ranchi (Jharkhand), Praveen Kumar, disclosed that this was emerging as one of the biggest stumbling blocks for anti-Naxalite operations in the Bundu and Tamar areas of the District. "Whether it is out of fear or otherwise, the support of villagers that the ‘sub-zonal commander’, Kundan Pahan, enjoys in the area, has made him almost invincible. Whenever police are about to conduct raids in the area, Pahan invariably gets wind of it," Kumar said. Pahan is the prime suspect in the murder and decapitation of Special Branch Inspector Francis Induwar.

There is also clear intent to take the ‘struggle’ forward at a different level. As CPI-Maoist politburo member Koteshwar Rao alias Kishan, who heads the outfit’s operations in Orissa, Jharkhand, Bihar and West Bengal, stated in an interview published on October 8, "Despite our strongholds, the Revolutionary People’s Committee has not emerged properly. We still need to take the movement forward". The article also noted that, "Unlike Bastar and Dankaranya regions in Chhattisgarh, the Maoists have been unable to complete ‘area domination’ in Jharkhand. In Chhattisgarh, ‘taking control’ of the tribal belt stretching from Abujhmadh, Bastar and Dandakaranya, the Maoists have established departments dealing with defence, health, development, personal relations, legal assistance, education and culture to run their so-called ‘revolutionary government’." The Maoist leader also rejected the Home Minister Chidambaram’s October 7 call to lay down arms and abjure violence, asserting that "armed struggle against the system will continue."

Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Union Government is planning to launch ‘all out operations’ against the Maoists in the first half of November 2009 [the scheduled has been repeatedly pushed back since rumours of such action first became rife in July]. The Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS), in a meeting chaired by the Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on October 8, is believed to have sanctioned a ‘comprehensive approach’ to deal with the LWE. According to the ‘action plan’, the Union Government has adopted the ‘clear and hold’ doctrine, requiring SFs to pro-actively engage with the extremists, venturing deep into their strongholds to clear these, quite in contrast with the earlier approach, where the forces’ actions were principally defensive or retaliatory. The Central Para Military Forces (CPMFs) and State Police Forces are particularly to focus on the Jharkhand-West Bengal-Orissa and Chhattisgarh-Orissa-Andhra Pradesh tri-junctions – the regions of the most intensive Maoist concentration and activity, to prevent any attempt by the rebels to slip from one zone to another.

Realising that wiping out Maoists from their strongholds requires the restoration both of the rule of law and demonstrable development, the Government has decided not to pull out the troops after an operation. Once security has been beefed up, there will be efforts to strengthen the civil bureaucracy and the Government’s mechanisms for delivery of developmental and welfare services.

Reports suggest that, to implement the new doctrine, New Delhi is to augment the strength of paramilitary deployments in the worst Maoist affected States to some 70 battalions. This would yield roughly 28,000 CPMF personnel across an arc extending from Andhra Pradesh through Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Maharashtra, Orissa, Bihar, and West Bengal. State Police Forces have also been told to improve their counter-insurgency capacities to back up the campaign. The Centre, meanwhile, has declined to enhance the role of the all ready over-stretched Army in anti-Naxal operations.

New Delhi seems to have succumbed to media hysteria and perceived popular pressure in the aftermath of the beheading of Francis Induwar and the recent attack against Police personnel in Gadchiroli, overlooking ground realities in what appears essentially to be a knee jerk response, rhetoric on proactivity notwithstanding. Hurried and ill-planned operations, using troops that are unfamiliar with local conditions, lacking hard intelligence, in many cases, under-trained, ill-prepared and under-equipped, and in all cases, lacking the critical mass of manpower needed to saturate the areas in which the Maoists have established their disruptive dominance.

The challenge of Maoist extremism is not insurmountable. But hasty and misdirected initiatives, far from advancing resolution, will undermine the legitimacy and authority of the Forces and infinitely compound the basic problems themselves. Policymakers are yet to understand the fundamentals of protracted war, and remain trapped in the obsolete ‘battalion approach’ – mechanically shuffling troops around from theatre to theatre – with little regard to Force composition and capabilities, the imperatives of local conditions, and the need for responses based on detailed local intelligence and understanding.


NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
October 5-11, 2009

 

Civilian

Security Force Personnel

Terrorist/Insurgent

Total

BANGLADESH

 

Left-wing Extremism

0
0
9
9

INDIA

 

Assam

1
0
1
2

Jammu and Kashmir

0
0
15
15

Manipur

0
0
6
6

Nagaland

0
0
1
1

Left-wing Extremism

 

Jharkhand

1
1
0
2

Maharashtra

0
18
1
19

West Bengal

0
0
2
2

Total (INDIA)

2
19
26
47

PAKISTAN

 

Balochistan

2
0
0
2

FATA

0
4
51
55

NWFP

49
0
71
120

Punjab

8
8
10
26

Total (PAKISTAN)

59
12
132
203
Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


AFGHANISTAN

17 persons killed in suicide bombing outside India’s Embassy in Kabul: Targeting the Indian Embassy in Kabul for the second time, a Taliban suicide bomber on October 8, 2009 blew up an explosives-laden car outside the mission, killing 17 persons and injuring over 80, including three Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) soldiers. The Embassy staff, however, was unhurt. The blast, which occurred near the outer perimeter of the heavily-fortified Embassy around 8.30 a.m., damaged a wall and destroyed a watch tower. "A suicide car bomb blast took place near the Indian embassy in which 15 civilians and two Afghan policemen were killed and 76 wounded. Most of the wounded are civilians," the Afghan Interior Ministry said. The Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack and identified the bomber as Khalid, Al Jazeera TV channel said. The explosion was reportedly more powerful than the blast of July 7, 2008. In that attack, a suicide car bomber rammed the gate of the Embassy, killing 60 people, including senior Indian Foreign Service officer V.V. Rao and Brigadier-rank Defence Attaché R.D. Mehta. The Hindu, October 9, 2009.


INDIA

Union Cabinet approves new plan to counter Maoists: On October 8, 2009, the Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) cleared the home ministry-driven coordinated offensive against the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) that will see deployment of nearly 75,000 central security personnel. The personnel are being trained alongside the army to fight the Maoists and regain control of the so-called liberated zones across the dense jungles of Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa and Maharashtra. The Indian Air Force (IAF) choppers will assist in movement of forces - for operations or rescue and evacuation - and have Garud commandos onboard in case of a Maoist attack.

The CCS, the top security panel chaired by the Prime Minister, is learnt to have approved in-principle the Union Home Ministry strategy plan. "The CCS discussed the Naxalite situation for two hours," National Security Adviser M.K. Narayanan said after the meeting of the highest policy body. The offensive, which will see the largest mobilisation ever of central forces outside the north-east and Jammu and Kashmir, is expected to gather momentum after the Legislative Assembly elections in Maharashtra when the Government moves the full complement of the available forces, nearly 40,000 personnel, into the concerned States. The central forces would reportedly focus on the heavily forested areas along inter-State borders of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Orissa, Jharkhand and Bihar. Hindustan Times, October 9, 2009.

Maoists kill at least 18 Policemen in Maharashtra: Cadres of the Communist Party of India-Maoist (CPI-Maoist) killed at least 18 Policemen, including Sub-Inspector C. S. Deshmukh, in an ambush in the dense forests near Laheri Police Station in Gadchiroli District on October 8, 2009. The incident occurred when a 40 member Police party came under heavy fire from 150 to 200 Maoists at about 1pm (IST) when it was returning after undertaking search operations following intelligence inputs that Maoists had assembled in the area. District Collector Atul Patne told PTI, "As many as two platoons of BSF (50 personnel) and additional police force was rushed to the spot and they could manage to save the rest of the policemen caught in the heavy fire." Police sources said that about 15 Maoists were also killed in the gun battle. However, this has not been confirmed. Meanwhile, Maoists beheaded one person, identified as Suresh Alami, at Kurkheda in the same District on October 7, suspecting him to be a Police informer. Times of India, October 9, 2009.


PAKISTAN

71 militants and 49 civilians killed during the week in NWFP: Nine Taliban militants were killed and five injured in a clash between the Security Forces (SFs) and Taliban militants in Darra Adam Khel on October 10, 2009.

49 persons, including a woman and seven children, were killed and 90 others were injured when a suicide attacker detonated his explosives-laden car at the crowded Soekarno Chowk in Khyber Bazaar in Peshawar, capital of the NWFP, on October 9. A Police official said that people were busy in routine activities when a suicide bomber detonated the explosives laden in his car. Many of those killed and injured were passengers of a mini-bus that was passing through the area at the time of the blast. Seven children, many of them schoolboys, and a woman, were among those killed. The blast destroyed around 30 vehicles and partially damaged over 60 shops in the nearby markets. Windowpanes of hundreds of shops and offices were also reportedly destroyed. Among those killed or injured were patients and their attendants going or coming out of the nearby Lady Reading Hospital, the biggest public sector hospital in the NWFP. An official of the bomb disposal unit (BDU) estimated that around 50 kg of high-intensity explosives had been loaded in the car, being driven by the suicide bomber, while another official said the explosives were around 100 kg. "As the explosives were loaded in the doors and side cavities, it caused more damage to the nearby buildings rather than creating a huge crater in the ground," a BDU official said.

SFs claimed to have killed nine militants and arrested six besides destroying a training camp and four other hideouts in the Tora Cheena, Sherakai, Akhurwal and Bostikhel areas of the gun manufacturing Darra Adamkhel town on October 9. Official sources said four soldiers were injured in the shootout. The SFs, backed by gunship helicopters, targeted a militant camp in Tora Cheena area and killed nine militants, including an important ‘commander’ identified as Zubair alias Anas. Six militants were also arrested in an injured condition during the military operation.

The SFs on October 8 claimed to have killed 17 militants in Swat as General Officer Commanding, Major General Ashfaq Nadeem, asserted that peace had been restored to 95 per cent areas of the District. The SFs conducted search operations in Tiligram, Benjot, Ser and Mangultan and killed 12 terrorists, the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) claimed. In another operation in Kasona, it added that troops killed five militants. Ashfaq Nadeem, while briefing the media at Circuit House in Mingora, said peace had been restored to 95 percent of Swat. He said majority of the militants had either been killed or arrested during the Army offensive and some had surrendered. He also said curfew had already been lifted from most areas. Further, AFP reported that the bullet-riddled bodies of 15 suspected Taliban militants were found in Swat on October 8. "I can confirm that 15 bodies were found today, and our information is that they are Taliban… They might have been the victims of infighting among militant groups or killed by local people," Army spokesman Major Mushtaq Khan told AFP.

SFs claimed to have killed six militants, including commander Nisar, in the Swat Valley on October 7. ISPR said: "Important terrorist commander Nisar alias Ghazi Baba from Matta Tehsil has been killed this morning in Biha Valley." Nisar was carrying head money of PKR 10 million, the ISPR said, adding that he was involved in terrorist activities in Peuchar and Matta. Nisar was a member of the Taliban central shura and a close aide of Maulana Fazlullah. The ISPR said Nisar was involved in the killing of SF personnel and local elders. It said his son, whose name was not disclosed, had been arrested.

On October 7, Afghan Taliban militants killed six militant leaders of the Hakeemullah Mehsud group for refusing to release two men they had kidnapped. The incident occurred in the Hangu city. According to sources, the two men, Shahid and Shah Nawaz, had been kidnapped three days ago. An Afghan Taliban shura (executive council) meeting held in the Orakzai Agency of FATA asked the militants to release the men and ‘sentenced them to death’ when they refused to do so. The sources said bodies of Hafiz Kamal, Hafiz Mujahid, Ghulam Mohammad, Basit and Manzoor were lying at a place on the Orakzai-Parachinar border with bombs tied to them.

SFs killed eight Taliban militants and arrested 13 others in Malakand on October 5. Talking to reporters, an official spokesman said an operation in Palai had been completed, adding that the area had been cleared of the Taliban. Dawn; Daily Times; The News, October 6-12, 2009.

51 militants and four soldiers killed during the week in FATA: 21 militants were killed and eight others sustained injuries when fighter planes targeted their positions in different areas of Ladha and Makeen sub-divisions in South Waziristan Agency on October 11, 2009. Tribal sources said two fighter planes started bombing Ladha Sarai, Patowelai, Tangi, Bodinzai, Makeen, Bandkhel and other areas in the afternoon. They said that 21 militants were killed and eight others injured while five hideouts were destroyed in the air strikes.

At least four Taliban militants and three soldiers were killed in operations across the FATA on October 10. Four militants, including a key commander, were killed in the Laghari area of Mamoond tehsil (revenue unit) in the Bajaur Agency. Security Forces (SFs) neutralised four Taliban hideouts, sources said, adding that a Security official was also killed and two others injured during the attack.

Four militants were killed in an exchange of fire with troops in the Shawal area of North Waziristan on October 8The clash took place after a vehicle in an army convoy going from Daber Pepli camp to its base in Mana hit a bomb placed on the road and one soldier was injured. Troops pursued the militants and subsequently killed four of them. In addition, reports from Laddah stated that five militants were killed and several others injured when troops mounted a ground and air assault on suspected positions of the Taliban in South Waziristan. Sources said that three militants were killed in the Kalkala area and two in Shawal. An unnamed official source said that militants fired 10 missiles from Makeen at the Razmak fort and Scouts fort in Jandola. Separately, a soldier was killed and two others sustained injuries when a remote-controlled blast targeted a security vehicle in the Baicheena area of Khar sub-division in Bajaur Agency on October 8.

Troops killed six militants and injured two others in a clash in the Razmak area of North Waziristan on October 7. According to official sources, the clash occurred when troops retaliated after the militants had attacked a military base and fired 11 rockets. An unnamed official said that the exchange of fire continued for about two hours. He claimed that militants had taken away bodies of the assailants who had been killed. The claim, however, could not be verified from independent sources.

Fighter jets bombed Tehrik-e-Taliban (TTP) Pakistan strongholds of Makeen and Nawazkot in South Waziristan on October 6 - killing six militants and injuring three others. Military sources said the strikes came a day after TTP chief Hakeemullah Mehsud vowed to launch attacks against the Security Forces (SFs) in the country. "The air strikes are part of a major offensive being planned against the terror network," sources told Daily Times. According to sources in Wana, the TTP holds considerable sway in both Makeen and Nawazkot, and the group has established its command-and-control structure there.

Five militants were killed when helicopter gunships targeted their hideouts on the Gurguri hilltop in Bara sub-division of Khyber Agency on October 5. The helicopters shelled the hideouts for over two hours after militants attacked the Fort Saloop, eight kilometres west of Bara bazaar. Three soldiers were injured when rockets hit the fort, officials said. Dawn; Daily Times; The News, October 6-12, 2009.

GHQ siege ends with troops rescuing 39 hostages and killing all nine terrorists: In a successful 18-hour operation, the armed forces – in collaboration with Special Services Group commandos – killed four terrorists, arrested one and rescued 39 hostages at a security office outside the General Headquarters (GHQ) in Rawalpindi on October 11, 2009 ending a siege that began on October 10. Three civilians and two Security Force (SF) personnel were killed on October 11, while seven SF personnel and three civilians were injured during the 18-hour operation – which culminated in the arrest of the ringleader, Aqeel alias Dr Osman. Although Aqeel was injured, sources said his condition is stable. Six soldiers and five terrorists had already been killed in the siege on October 10. The Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) Director-General, Major General Athar Abbas, said that two army officials were killed and seven others injured in the commando operation. Three civilian hostages were also killed in the operation, he added. The ISPR chief said eight SF personnel, including a Brigadier and a Lieutenant Colonel, nine terrorists and three civilians were killed on October 10 and 11, while the total number of injured was 15 – 12 army personnel and three civilians. He said the operation to rescue the hostages began around 6am (PST), and continued for 45 minutes in the first phase – during which commandos rescued 30 hostages and killed four terrorists. He said the five terrorists killed in the first phase were armed with suicide vests and tried to resist the troops. "The terrorists had suicide jackets, improvised explosive devices, grenades... they wanted to blow up all the hostages and cause maximum damage," the AFP quoted him as saying. "Terrorist Aqeel alias Dr Osman was overpowered at around 9am in an injured condition when he tried to blow himself up and the rest of the hostages ... triggering a blast in adjacent offices of the security building ... five security personnel were injured in the final phase of the operation," he said. The siege began just before midday on October 10, when terrorists in military uniform and armed with automatic weapons and grenades drove up to the Rawalpindi compound and shot their way through a checkpoint. AFP quoted a security official as saying that Aqeel was also wanted in connection with a rocket attack on former president Pervez Musharraf in 2007 and the killing of the military’s surgeon general in February 2008. "He is a known terrorist. His name is mentioned in several cases," the unnamed official was quoted as saying. Daily Times, October 12, 2009.

Suicide bomber kills five persons at United Nations World Food Programme office in Islamabad: A suicide bomber targeted the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) office in Islamabad on October 5, 2009 killing five persons, including a UN diplomat and two women employees. Six other staff members were injured. The terrorist is reported to have entered the WFP building in Frontier Constabulary (FC) uniform through the small gate. He walked to the reception and blew himself up at 1217 hours, an investigation agency source said. The WFP office is located in a tightly-guarded residential area of the national capital. The dead included a UN diplomat and Iraqi national Bootan Ali, in charge reception Gul Rukh, assistant in charge reception Farzana Barkat, Abdul Wahab and Abid Rehman. The Deputy Inspector General of Police (Operations), Bin Yameen, said the recovery of a severed head and two legs suggested that the attack was carried out by a suicide bomber. Over 80 employees, including about 20 diplomats, were inside the WFP office when the terrorist struck. The WFP office is reportedly well protected as a 15-foot high wall has been erected around it with barbed wire and security cameras in place. President Asif Ali Zardari’s private residence is situated near the blast venue apart from some other important houses. The Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) claimed on October 6 it had carried out the suicide attack and vowed further attacks on Governments and foreign targets. Dawn, October 7, 2009; The News, October 6, 2009.


SRI LANKA

Ruling United People’s Freedom Alliance wins Provincial Elections in South: Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapakse’s party won provincial elections in the country’s south and described the result as a sign of public support for its victory over the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). The ruling United People’s Freedom Alliance won 38 seats in the 55-member Southern Provincial Council, with 67.88 percent of the vote, according to the Department of Elections. The main opposition United National Party won 14 seats in the elections held on October 10, 2009. The result is an endorsement of the leadership of Rajapakse, who "liberated the country and its people from decades of terrorism," Foreign Minister Rohitha Bogollagama said in a statement on a Government Website. Bloomberg, September 29, 2009.


The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

South Asia Intelligence Review [SAIR]

Publisher
K. P. S. Gill

Editor
Dr. Ajai Sahni


A Project of the
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