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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 3, No. 41, April 25, 2005
Data and
assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form
with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal
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Acts of Enmity
Ajai Sahni
Editor, SAIR; Executive Director, Institute for Conflict
Management
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management
On April 16, 2005, an Assistant Commandant of India's Border
Security Force (BSF), Jeevan Kumar, along with a BSF jawan
(soldier), was dragged across the border by Bangladesh Rifles
(BDR) personnel and local villagers, into Bangladesh territory.
Kumar was tortured and shot dead; the jawan was also
brutally tortured and left for dead with multiple wounds.
Kumar had gone to the Akhaura Border Check Post in the Indian
State of Tripura to seek a meeting with BDR officials after
reports that an Indian man had been abducted by Bangladeshi
miscreants, when this appalling incident occurred.
Apart from
the gratuitous brutality of the act, there are reasons to
believe it was entirely premeditated and planned. It is
significant that the incident took place exactly four years
after the infamous Pyrdiwah incident of April 16, 2001,
when 16 BSF personnel were tortured and killed by BDR officers
and personnel in the Boroibari area of the Mankachar sector
bordering the Indian State of Meghalaya, with the active
participation of Bangladeshi villagers. The bodies of some
of the BSF soldiers were then tied onto bamboo poles and
paraded through the villages - with photos of the incident
widely circulated through the region, shocking Indian sensibilities.
On both occasions, the Indian reactions have conformed entirely
to an historical pattern of bluster and infirmity that puts
little value on the lives of the country's fighting men.
After the Pyrdiwah incident, the then Minister of External
Affairs had declaimed in Parliament that India would not
take "lightly the defilement of men in uniform", and demanded
that Bangladesh act immediately against perpetrators of
such "criminal adventurism". A 'strong protest' was also
registered with Dhaka through diplomatic channels, with
demands for action against the guilty. Within days, however,
Delhi was rapidly backtracking, making excuses for Shiekh
Hasina's 'friendly regime' and blaming the incident on the
'local adventurism of the BDR' and the machinations of Pakistan's
Inter Services Intelligence (ISI). The then Union Home Secretary
went so far as to inform the media that it was "a unilateral
action by the BDR troops and Government of Bangladesh was
not aware of it". The fact that Dhaka chose to take no action
against the guilty - and that it has till now taken no such
action - has not deterred the pronouncements of Delhi's
political and bureaucratic illusionists.
This time around, again, the initial rhetoric was searing.
The BSF Director General, R.S. Mooshahary, who was in Dhaka
at the time of the Akhaura incident, engaged in the scheduled
bi-annual institutional talks with the Director General
of the BDR, declared, "You cannot kill men in uniform like
this," and again, "If they keep persisting with their misadventure,
we have to say this is the limit. Beyond this, we cannot
tolerate." The Indian High Commission at Dhaka 'unequivocally
condemned' the 'highly reprehensible' killing; and the Ministry
of External Affairs called in the acting High Commissioner
of Bangladesh at New Delhi to convey its "Deep disappointment
and regret over the incident" and warn that "its repercussions
could not be ignored".
Before the week was out, however, Delhi changed its tune.
Mooshahary downplayed the significance of the torture and
murder of his officer, stating, "2001 and now 2005 - two
incidents have taken place. You cannot say our men are getting
killed all the time." The fact that these incidents were
only compounding factors in a long and continuous history
of mischief has been deliberately suppressed here: there
are frequent skirmishes with the BDR along the border, many
involving loss of life; Bangladesh has long supported terrorist
organisations operating in India's Northeast; Dhaka has
been complicit in the massive demographic invasion and destabilisation
of India's East and Northeast; BDR personnel have disrupted
every Indian effort to construct a fence along the border
by firing on the workers and BSF personnel engaged in this
task; Bangladesh has emerged as the primary source of illegal
arms and explosives for virtually every insurgent and criminal
operation all along India's East and Northeast; and the
BDR supports a wide range of smuggling and criminal operations
along the border.
But Mooshahary is not alone in burying his head in the sand.
On April 20, 2005, National Security Advisor M.K. Narayanan
directed the BSF Chief to instruct his commanders in Tripura
to 'exercise restraint'. On the sidelines of the Asian-African
Summit at Bandung, India chose this time to communicate
to Bangladesh that the South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC) Summit could be held at "any suitable
date acceptable to other members" of this seven nation group.
Significantly, the Summit, to be held at Dhaka, was postponed
in February when India refused to attend on the grounds
that 'regional developments' were not conducive to its proceedings.
While India did not elaborate, the February 1 'King's coup'
in Nepal, and security concerns in Bangladesh as a result
of the increasing activity of Islamist extremist groupings
linked with the ruling coalition, were thought to be the
'regional developments' referred to. It is not clear what,
precisely, has changed since February, but clearly the threatened
'repercussions' of the Akhaura incident can easily be ignored.
In the meanwhile, Bangladesh has ordered a probe into the
Akhaura incident and has relocated the BDR unit responsible.
However, tensions along the Indo-Bangladesh border have
escalated, with both sides accusing each other of invasion
of air space, massing of troops, movement of heavy weaponry
and other intimidatory activities.
These transient tensions overlie the deep and abiding mistrust
and hostility that have become integral to relations between
the two countries. Bangladesh has often accused India of
'hegemonistic designs'. India, on the other hand, has a
long and growing list of specific complaints, including
the presence of terrorist camps, safe havens and leadership
headquarters on Bangladesh soil. While Bangladesh has dealt
with these allegations through a strategy of blank denial
in the face of mounting evidence - much of it available
in Bangladeshi open sources - this pattern of 'minimal credible
deniability' often comes under specific strains. Thus, Delhi's
note verbale for the extradition of the United Liberation
Front of Asom (ULFA)
'general secretary', Anup Chetia alias Golap Baruah, charged
with a number of crimes, including murder, in Assam, has
been repeatedly rejected by the Bangladesh authorities -
though his presence in that country is fully documented,
since Chetia has been in a Bangladesh jail at Kashimmpur
since 1997 on charges of possessing foreign currencies,
a satellite phone and several passports. His prison term
ended on February 25 this year, but Bangladesh has refused
to extradite him to India, instead sending its own list
of criminals who it claims are 'sheltering' in India. Over
the years, there have been repeated incidents of violence,
many of them in Dhaka, involving internecine clashes between
various Northeast Indian terrorist groups housed there,
including the top leadership of some of these, and these
have been widely reported in the Bangladesh media. But Bangladesh
persists with the fiction that 'there are no terrorists
on Bangladesh soil.'
Delhi has also been concerned with the increasing activities
of Islamist extremists and terrorists on and from Bangladeshi
soil as well as the enormous quantum of small arms and explosives
that are moving across into India - most dramatically exemplified
by the massive
seizure at Karnaphuli on the Chittagong
coast on April 2, 2004, the result of poor coordination
between different Bangladeshi enforcement agencies, some
of which failed to 'cooperate' with the officials who were
overseeing the transaction, of a consignment of small arms
sufficient, as one commentator noted, "to arm a brigade".
Bangladeshi belligerence has also found repeated political
expression. In September 2004, in an attack described by
one Bangladeshi editorial as an "amateurish outburst", Bangladesh
Foreign Minister Morshed Khan accused India of 'over-criticism'
saying that if the larger neighbour continued to blame Bangladesh
for "things across the spectrum, future bilateral discussions
would be in jeopardy", adding
the threat, "we could end India's $3
billion trade here by issuing an SRO [Statutory Regulatory
Order] on all Indian goods entering Bangladesh." On an ominous
note, he added, further, that although "Bangladesh is India-locked,
Delhi also has to remember that the seven north-eastern
Indian states are also Bangladesh-locked."
Geography is certainly part of the problem, and the countries
share a 4,095 kilometre border, with some pockets remaining
un-demarcated, though agreements for the resolution of all
issues on the border have long been in existence on paper.
Tripura - the Indian State where the recent Akhaura incident
occurred - for instance, has a 856 kilometre long border
with Bangladesh, of which just 200 kilometres has been fenced.
However, barring 6.5 kilometres, the rest of the border
is well demarcated. However, fencing has progressed slowly,
despite a long-standing Indian mandate to fence off the
whole area, and this is at least in part because of the
BDR's repeated obstruction of fencing work. BDR men regularly
fire at the men engaged in the border fencing work, and
a BSF official disclosed that there had been at least five
incidents of such "unwarranted firing" by BDR troopers on
civilians and security personnel along the border with Tripura
between March 1, 2005 and April 21, 2005. On April 20, the
Tripura Director General of Police, G.M. Srivastava stated,
"I am not saying that the Government of Bangladesh is involved
in such acts, but there are reasons to believe that some
BDR men, at the local level, are working to delay the construction
of the fencing." There are also a number of small pockets
under 'adverse possession' as well as some 'enclaves' of
Indian and Bangladeshi populations in the other country.
While agreements on these have long been in existence, their
implementation remains in abeyance because of tensions along
the border, as well as Bangladesh's evident strategic and
tactical interests in obstructing an Indian fence that would
put an end to the movement of terrorist and criminal groups,
as well as the large volume of illegal migration that Dhaka
implicitly supports. In some cases, topography also creates
problems. The Belonia sub-division in South Tripura, for
instance, has been a repeated flash-point, because the Muhuri
river keeps changing its course, creating vast islands,
which both the countries claim leading to border skirmishes.
Under the circumstances, occasional clashes along the border
are not unexpected. However, the torture and cold blooded
murder of soldiers is impossible to justify or countenance.
India, unfortunately, appears to lack the political will
to impose minimal norms of civilized conduct in interactions
with any of its recalcitrant neighbours.
Manipur: 'Revivalist'
Wave
Guest Writer: Pradip Phanjoubam
Editor, Imphal Free Press
A storm of revivalism is blowing across the Valley Districts
of Manipur, spearheaded by an organisation that calls itself
MEELAL (Meetei Erol Eyek Loinshillon Apunba Lup, or the
United Forum for Safeguarding Manipuri Script and Language),
and has culminated in the atrocious act of arson at the
Manipur State Central Library where all its more than 1,45,000
books were destroyed on April 13, 2005. MEELAL initiated
its violent campaign to 'immediately' have the Bengali script
replaced by the indigenous Meitei Mayek in written Manipuri,
and to have all school text books written in the latter
script from the current academic session. Presently, and
for almost the last 300 years, the Bengali script has been
the medium of written Manipuri. MEELAL activists have been
going about visiting schools, snatching textbooks written
in Bengali and burning them for almost two months now, with
the Okram Ibobi led Congress Government merely 'waiting
and watching' - now very much its trade mark policy for
'tackling' crises - in the hope that the storm will eventually
spend itself and pass.
Regardless
of numerous appeals from the Government and a good section
of the vocal public, MEELAL intensified its campaign and
added an economic blockade of the State, over and above
its textbook burning spree. Many freight trucks that entered
Imphal against the blockade call ended up in ashes, in the
heart of capital, in full public view and under the very
nose of the Government. At one stage, MEELAL even issued
a diktat that all vernacular dailies should begin using
Meitei Mayek by March 1. The newspapers initially refused
to do so, provoking MEELAL's ire, with activists raiding
newspaper distribution centres and intimidating hawkers,
starting March 11, till the newspapers complied with their
diktat. In the initial sweep, even local English dailies
were not spared. In protest, newspapers in the State stopped
publication for three days and journalists staged a sit-in
protest against the intrusion on their freedom, until a
settlement was negotiated under which MEELAL was to allow
the distribution of newspapers if the vernacular newspapers
reserved some space on the front page for news written in
Meitei Mayek. The Government continued its watching game.
All except one daily complied with the agreement, but many
were extremely compliant and even went to the extent of
using the entire front page for news written in the Meitei
Mayek. However, these enthusiasts retracted their extreme
gesture of support after they found no takers among their
readers, and their circulations dropped. The one newspaper
that held out, and is still uncompromising, is the Ireilbak
vernacular, which insists that the matter must solely be
left to the discretion of the editor of the newspaper and
that no agreement made under duress can be made binding
on all. English dailies were, however, spared this dilemma.
The Government did nothing, again, when an underground organization,
a faction of the Kangleipak Communist Party (KCP)
imposed a five day bandh (shut down) of the State,
beginning April 10 and concluding April 16, in a show of
solidarity for MEELAL's demands. On April 13, however, the
library burning incident shocked the Government out of its
complacency. Two Additional Directors General of Police
(ADGPs) were removed from their posts and put on 'compulsory
wait' for negligence, and a probe was ordered into the arson.
Initial reports confirmed the Library authorities, fearing
an attack, had earlier written a note to the Imphal West
Superintendent of Police (SP), requesting security cover,
but their application was ignored.
The library burning incident put not just the administration
on the defensive, but prompted many underground organizations
to issue statements that they had no part in it. The Kanglei
Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL)
to state that, while it 'spiritually supports' MEELAL's
cause, it was never physically part of the latter's agitation.
The organization even made a correspondent of the Press
Trust of India (PTI) who had, by oversight, reported
that the KCP and the KYKL had joined ranks with the MEELAL
and issued statements demanding the introduction of Meitei
Mayek in schools from the current academic year, was made
to apologize publicly by the KYKL under threat of extreme
punishment. Other underground organizations like the Revolutionary
People's Front (RPF) condemned the arson incident, saying
that it was an act against the people. The RPF agreed that
the script switch will eventually have to take place, but
it should not be at the cost of destroying existing knowledge
stored in the Bengali or any other scripts. The Kuki National
Front (KNF)
joined the chorus of condemnation, while the United National
Liberation Front (UNLF)
has remained silent.
For the activists and leadership of MEELAL, the passion
that drives their present campaign is akin to a fundamentalist
thirst for a revenge on history. Their act of torching books
written in Bengali is, by their own admission, symbolic
reprisal for the burning of ancient Meitei Mayek manuscripts
called Puyas, in 1726, by King Pamheiba (rechristened Garib
Niwaz) after he made Vaishnavism the state religion. Pamheiba
was one of Manipur's most powerful rulers, and he extended
his military influence eastwards up to the confluence of
the Chindwin and Irrawadi on edge of Ava (near Mandalay),
the capital of the then Ava Kingdom. Although the influence
of Hinduism was growing in Manipur at the time, it was a
Vaishnavite missionary, Shantidas Adhikari, more popularly
known in Manipur as Shantidas Goshai, who won over the powerful
ruler of the kingdom and, through him, completed a total
conversion of the state to Vaishnavism. Using his state
authority, the King made the religion mandatory for all
his Meitei subjects. However, the historical memory of the
place recorded in existing books was seen as coming in the
way of the new religion and tradition and, apparently on
the advice of his religious mentor Shantidas, the King ordered
all the puyas confiscated and burnt, in an event
remembered to this day as Puya Meithaba. Many of
these books, it is said, were occultist in content, enumerating
magic rites, oracular predictions and tantric medicinal
traditions. Others were records of events. There was strong
resistance from those who refused the new religion, and
many of books and scholars went underground or into self-imposed
exile. Among them was Lourembam Khongnangthaba, who was
never again seen, and a legend grew that he had vowed to
be reincarnated in good times. It is no co-incidence that
Khongnangthaba is the icon of Meitei revivalist organizations,
including MEELAL which has grown under the leadership of
Chingsubam Akaba Meetei, now in jail under the National
Security Act (NSA), 1980, along with other activists.
There is broad agreement among most of the Meitei underground
organizations as well as a majority of the Meiteis, that
the script must be switched, although not many agree with
the manner in which the demand is being pressed, violently
and with such unreasonable obduracy. Haste, moreover, is
not favoured by most, as many creases remain to be smoothed
out in the script, which has not been in use for nearly
all of three centuries. As for instance, the officially
recognized Meitei Mayek has 27 alphabets, but there is another
group of activists and scholars who say it should contain
36. The Manipur Legislative Assembly too, on February 21,
the last day of its Budget Session, shot down by a voice
vote majority a private member's resolution moved by Dr.
Nimaichand Luwang for the immediate switch of scripts, although
the Leader of the House gave his commitment that the changeover
would be brought about in phases. The demand for the switch,
it may be recalled, has been in existence for almost three
decades now and became all the more urgent after Manipuri
was recognized as a national language under the 8th Schedule
of the Constitution. The language agitation, in its present
form, however, can only add to the violence-wracked State's
overflowing cup of woes.
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Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts
in South Asia
April
18-24, 2005
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Civilian
|
Security
Force Personnel
|
Terrorist
|
Total
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BANGLADESH
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
3
|
INDIA
|
ASSAM
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
3
|
Jammu
&
Kashmir
|
6
|
1
|
31
|
38
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Left-wing
Extremism
|
8
|
0
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3
|
11
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Manipur
|
1
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0
|
1
|
2
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Tripura
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1
|
0
|
0
|
1
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Total (INDIA)
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19
|
1
|
35
|
55
|
NEPAL
|
12
|
7
|
29
|
48
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SRI LANKA
|
0
|
0
|
6
|
6
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Provisional
data compiled from English language media sources.
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BANGLADESH
Bangladesh massing troops,
says Indian Border Security Force: On April 23, 2005, the
Indian Border Security Force (BSF) said that Bangladesh was
massing troops along the border with Tripura, building trenches
to move in heavy weapons, violating the country's airspace and
evacuating Bangladeshi civilians from border villages to make
room for paramilitary reinforcements. A BSF statement released
in Agartala, capital of Tripura, said that the Bangladesh Rifles
(BDR) has been digging a large number of trenches and increasing
the number of its personnel in the Kurma area under Maulvi Bazaar
district, across Kamalpur sub-division in Tripura's Dhalai district.
"The BDR has also violated Indian air space with one of its
helicopters flying over Magrum, Beltoli and Chhotakhil areas
in South Tripura's Sabroom sub-division on Friday," the BSF
statement added. The statement further said the BDR has evacuated
Bangladeshi civilians from the village of Mokabil under Trimangal
police station so that its personnel could occupy the area when
reinforcements arrive. Sentinel
Assam, April 24, 2005.
INDIA
New Asian-African Strategic
Partnership agreement signed in Bandung: Asian and African
leaders on April 24, 2005, signed an agreement in Bandung, Indonesia,
to build stronger economic and political links and resolved,
among other things, to address issues of common concern such
as terrorism, weapons of mass destruction and organised crime.
The declaration on the New Asian-African Strategic Partnership
(NAASP) plus an action plan on its implementation was signed
after a two-day summit of leaders from more than 100 countries
representing three-fourths of the world's population, pledged
to boost trade and investment ties and underlined the importance
of multilateral approaches to solving conflicts. Prime Minister,
Dr. Manmohan Singh, spoke on behalf of Asia at the signing ceremony.
New
Indian Express, April 25, 2005.
Second Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service concludes without
incident: The second trans-Line of Control (LoC) Srinagar-Muzaffarabad
bus service concluded without incident on April 21, 2005. While
38 passengers from Srinagar, capital of Jammu and Kashmir, traveled
to the other side of the LoC, the number of passengers coming
from Muzaffarabad, capital of the Pakistan occupied Kashmir
(PoK) was 28, including 11 new passengers. There was tight security
from Srinagar to Kaman Post - the last Indian post - and even
school buses were reportedly not allowed on the road till the
bus had crossed the outskirts of Srinagar. Ten companies of
the Central Reserve Police Force, five of the Border Service
Force, a number of army and police personnel had reportedly
been deployed to ensure an incident-free day. The
Hindu, April 22, 2005.
India-Pakistan peace process is irreversible, says Joint
Statement: India and Pakistan while underlining on April
18, 2005, that the peace process between the two countries was
"now irreversible," agreed to open trade across the Line of
Control (LoC) by allowing trucks between Srinagar and Muzaffarabad,
open the trans-LoC Poonch-Rawalakot route and take steps for
the meeting of divided families along the LoC. Condemning the
attempts to disrupt the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service, the
Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, and the Pakistan President,
Gen. Pervez Musharraf, pledged in a joint statement that they
"would not allow terrorism to impede the peace process." Times
of India, April 19, 2005.
NEPAL
India may consider resumption
of military aid to Nepal:
India on April 23, 2005, promised to look at Nepal's request for
the resumption of Indian military aid from a "proper perspective".
The decision was reportedly conveyed by the Prime Minister, Dr.
Manmohan Singh, to King Gyanendra during a 45-minute meeting in
the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, on April 23, on the sidelines
of the ongoing Asian-African Summit. An unnamed senior Indian
official told The Hindu that a consignment of arms, which
had been in the pipeline when King Gyanendra seized power on February
1, would be delivered "very soon." The King reportedly assured
Dr. Singh that democracy in Nepal would be restored "sooner rather
than later" and that he would be sensitive to Indian concerns
that there be a "road map" for restarting the political process.
The
Hindu, April 24, 2005.
Maoist chief rules out peace talks: Chief of the Maoist
insurgents, Pushpa Kamal Dahal alias Comrade
Prachanda, has ruled out peace talks or a cease-fire with the
Government, predicting that the nine-year-old conflict would see
the Maoists come to power soon. "Right now, we do not see any
possibility of talks with these mediaeval and barbaric feudal
autocrats," he told Reuters during an e-mail interview
received on April 18, 2005. Prachanda stated that "Right now,
the possibility of a ceasefire does not exist." He also claimed
"The seizure of power by the widely hated regicidal and fratricidal
king is nothing else than the last and desperate attempt of feudal
autocracy against the democratic thrust and aspiration of the
Nepalese masses." Daily
Times, April 19, 2005.
PAKISTAN
Armed struggle
will continue till Kashmir is free, says United Jehad Council:
The United Jehad Council (UJC), an umbrella organisation of all
Pakistan-based Jehadi groups, has reportedly said that militant
organisations will not give up their weapons till Jammu and Kashmir
is freed from Indian rule. UJC Chairman Syed Salahuddin told Daily
Times on April 24, 2005, that people suggesting times had
changed and the role of the gun in liberation movements after
9/11 had ended were living in a "fools' paradise". "Let me make
it clear that nobody will lay down his or her weapon till Kashmir
is liberated," he added. Certain conditions would have to be met
if, at any stage, President Pervez Musharraf or any other dignitary
called for a cease-fire for a certain period to facilitate the
current composite dialogue process with India, Salahuddin said.
According to him, "Firstly, UJC leaders will consider the ceasefire
call, secondly, the Indian Government has to admit that Jammu
and Kashmir is disputed territory and thirdly, the demand for
the release of Kashmiri prisoners from Indian jails and an end
to military operations and atrocities by the Indian Army will
have to be met." Daily
Times, April 25, 2005.
Osama bin Laden in Pakistan-Afghan tribal belt, says President
Musharraf: The Al
Qaeda chief Osama
bin Laden is alive and hiding somewhere in
the inaccessible Pakistan-Afghan tribal belt, said Pakistani President,
Gen. Pervez Musharraf. "Osama is alive and I am cent per cent
sure that he is hiding in the Pakistani-Afghan tribal belt," Musharraf
said in an interview to the CNN. Gen. Musharraf also said
the tribal areas on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border stretched
to difficult mountain ranges where it would be very hard to locate
bin Laden due to the lack of communication infrastructure. The
Pakistani Government is developing the infrastructure there to
hunt down Osama and the remnants of the Al Qaeda, he claimed.
Hindustan
Times, April 23, 2005.
Link found between Daniel Pearl's killers and Muslim charity:
Pakistani investigators have reportedly found a definite and irrevocable
link between a Muslim charity and one of the four suspects believed
to be involved in the murder of Wall Street Journal reporter
Daniel Pearl in February 2002. According to Daily Times,
a 'Trust Deed', retrieved from at least two banks where the Al-Akhtar
Trust International, outlawed by the American Treasury Department
in 2003 for having links with the Taliban
and Al
Qaeda, has it accounts, shows that Saud Memon
is one of Al-Akhtar's eleven trustees. Memon, an industrialist
who remains one of the key suspects still at large in the Daniel
Pearl murder case, had been named by several arrested members
of the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen Al-Almi (HuMA)
as their chief financial supporter. His date of birth, father's
name and his citizenship (National Identity Card number) were
reportedly identical on the CID Red Book and the Trust Deed. Daily
Times, April 19, 2005.
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