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SOUTH ASIA INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
Weekly Assessments & Briefings
Volume 3, No. 41, April 25, 2005

Data and assessments from SAIR can be freely published in any form with credit to the South Asia Intelligence Review of the
South Asia Terrorism Portal



ASSESSMENT

 

 

BANGLADESH

Acts of Enmity
Ajai Sahni
Editor, SAIR; Executive Director, Institute for Conflict Management
Bibhu Prasad Routray
Research Fellow, Institute for Conflict Management

On April 16, 2005, an Assistant Commandant of India's Border Security Force (BSF), Jeevan Kumar, along with a BSF jawan (soldier), was dragged across the border by Bangladesh Rifles (BDR) personnel and local villagers, into Bangladesh territory. Kumar was tortured and shot dead; the jawan was also brutally tortured and left for dead with multiple wounds. Kumar had gone to the Akhaura Border Check Post in the Indian State of Tripura to seek a meeting with BDR officials after reports that an Indian man had been abducted by Bangladeshi miscreants, when this appalling incident occurred.

  Also Read
From Denial to Tentative Confrontation -- Bibhu Prasad Routray
Rhetoric and Denial -- Saji Cherian

Apart from the gratuitous brutality of the act, there are reasons to believe it was entirely premeditated and planned. It is significant that the incident took place exactly four years after the infamous Pyrdiwah incident of April 16, 2001, when 16 BSF personnel were tortured and killed by BDR officers and personnel in the Boroibari area of the Mankachar sector bordering the Indian State of Meghalaya, with the active participation of Bangladeshi villagers. The bodies of some of the BSF soldiers were then tied onto bamboo poles and paraded through the villages - with photos of the incident widely circulated through the region, shocking Indian sensibilities.

On both occasions, the Indian reactions have conformed entirely to an historical pattern of bluster and infirmity that puts little value on the lives of the country's fighting men. After the Pyrdiwah incident, the then Minister of External Affairs had declaimed in Parliament that India would not take "lightly the defilement of men in uniform", and demanded that Bangladesh act immediately against perpetrators of such "criminal adventurism". A 'strong protest' was also registered with Dhaka through diplomatic channels, with demands for action against the guilty. Within days, however, Delhi was rapidly backtracking, making excuses for Shiekh Hasina's 'friendly regime' and blaming the incident on the 'local adventurism of the BDR' and the machinations of Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence (ISI). The then Union Home Secretary went so far as to inform the media that it was "a unilateral action by the BDR troops and Government of Bangladesh was not aware of it". The fact that Dhaka chose to take no action against the guilty - and that it has till now taken no such action - has not deterred the pronouncements of Delhi's political and bureaucratic illusionists.

This time around, again, the initial rhetoric was searing. The BSF Director General, R.S. Mooshahary, who was in Dhaka at the time of the Akhaura incident, engaged in the scheduled bi-annual institutional talks with the Director General of the BDR, declared, "You cannot kill men in uniform like this," and again, "If they keep persisting with their misadventure, we have to say this is the limit. Beyond this, we cannot tolerate." The Indian High Commission at Dhaka 'unequivocally condemned' the 'highly reprehensible' killing; and the Ministry of External Affairs called in the acting High Commissioner of Bangladesh at New Delhi to convey its "Deep disappointment and regret over the incident" and warn that "its repercussions could not be ignored".

Before the week was out, however, Delhi changed its tune. Mooshahary downplayed the significance of the torture and murder of his officer, stating, "2001 and now 2005 - two incidents have taken place. You cannot say our men are getting killed all the time." The fact that these incidents were only compounding factors in a long and continuous history of mischief has been deliberately suppressed here: there are frequent skirmishes with the BDR along the border, many involving loss of life; Bangladesh has long supported terrorist organisations operating in India's Northeast; Dhaka has been complicit in the massive demographic invasion and destabilisation of India's East and Northeast; BDR personnel have disrupted every Indian effort to construct a fence along the border by firing on the workers and BSF personnel engaged in this task; Bangladesh has emerged as the primary source of illegal arms and explosives for virtually every insurgent and criminal operation all along India's East and Northeast; and the BDR supports a wide range of smuggling and criminal operations along the border.

But Mooshahary is not alone in burying his head in the sand. On April 20, 2005, National Security Advisor M.K. Narayanan directed the BSF Chief to instruct his commanders in Tripura to 'exercise restraint'. On the sidelines of the Asian-African Summit at Bandung, India chose this time to communicate to Bangladesh that the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) Summit could be held at "any suitable date acceptable to other members" of this seven nation group. Significantly, the Summit, to be held at Dhaka, was postponed in February when India refused to attend on the grounds that 'regional developments' were not conducive to its proceedings. While India did not elaborate, the February 1 'King's coup' in Nepal, and security concerns in Bangladesh as a result of the increasing activity of Islamist extremist groupings linked with the ruling coalition, were thought to be the 'regional developments' referred to. It is not clear what, precisely, has changed since February, but clearly the threatened 'repercussions' of the Akhaura incident can easily be ignored.

In the meanwhile, Bangladesh has ordered a probe into the Akhaura incident and has relocated the BDR unit responsible. However, tensions along the Indo-Bangladesh border have escalated, with both sides accusing each other of invasion of air space, massing of troops, movement of heavy weaponry and other intimidatory activities.

These transient tensions overlie the deep and abiding mistrust and hostility that have become integral to relations between the two countries. Bangladesh has often accused India of 'hegemonistic designs'. India, on the other hand, has a long and growing list of specific complaints, including the presence of terrorist camps, safe havens and leadership headquarters on Bangladesh soil. While Bangladesh has dealt with these allegations through a strategy of blank denial in the face of mounting evidence - much of it available in Bangladeshi open sources - this pattern of 'minimal credible deniability' often comes under specific strains. Thus, Delhi's note verbale for the extradition of the United Liberation Front of Asom (ULFA) 'general secretary', Anup Chetia alias Golap Baruah, charged with a number of crimes, including murder, in Assam, has been repeatedly rejected by the Bangladesh authorities - though his presence in that country is fully documented, since Chetia has been in a Bangladesh jail at Kashimmpur since 1997 on charges of possessing foreign currencies, a satellite phone and several passports. His prison term ended on February 25 this year, but Bangladesh has refused to extradite him to India, instead sending its own list of criminals who it claims are 'sheltering' in India. Over the years, there have been repeated incidents of violence, many of them in Dhaka, involving internecine clashes between various Northeast Indian terrorist groups housed there, including the top leadership of some of these, and these have been widely reported in the Bangladesh media. But Bangladesh persists with the fiction that 'there are no terrorists on Bangladesh soil.'

Delhi has also been concerned with the increasing activities of Islamist extremists and terrorists on and from Bangladeshi soil as well as the enormous quantum of small arms and explosives that are moving across into India - most dramatically exemplified by the massive seizure at Karnaphuli on the Chittagong coast on April 2, 2004, the result of poor coordination between different Bangladeshi enforcement agencies, some of which failed to 'cooperate' with the officials who were overseeing the transaction, of a consignment of small arms sufficient, as one commentator noted, "to arm a brigade".

Bangladeshi belligerence has also found repeated political expression. In September 2004, in an attack described by one Bangladeshi editorial as an "amateurish outburst", Bangladesh Foreign Minister Morshed Khan accused India of 'over-criticism' saying that if the larger neighbour continued to blame Bangladesh for "things across the spectrum, future bilateral discussions would be in jeopardy", adding the threat, "we could end India's $3 billion trade here by issuing an SRO [Statutory Regulatory Order] on all Indian goods entering Bangladesh." On an ominous note, he added, further, that although "Bangladesh is India-locked, Delhi also has to remember that the seven north-eastern Indian states are also Bangladesh-locked."

Geography is certainly part of the problem, and the countries share a 4,095 kilometre border, with some pockets remaining un-demarcated, though agreements for the resolution of all issues on the border have long been in existence on paper. Tripura - the Indian State where the recent Akhaura incident occurred - for instance, has a 856 kilometre long border with Bangladesh, of which just 200 kilometres has been fenced. However, barring 6.5 kilometres, the rest of the border is well demarcated. However, fencing has progressed slowly, despite a long-standing Indian mandate to fence off the whole area, and this is at least in part because of the BDR's repeated obstruction of fencing work. BDR men regularly fire at the men engaged in the border fencing work, and a BSF official disclosed that there had been at least five incidents of such "unwarranted firing" by BDR troopers on civilians and security personnel along the border with Tripura between March 1, 2005 and April 21, 2005. On April 20, the Tripura Director General of Police, G.M. Srivastava stated, "I am not saying that the Government of Bangladesh is involved in such acts, but there are reasons to believe that some BDR men, at the local level, are working to delay the construction of the fencing." There are also a number of small pockets under 'adverse possession' as well as some 'enclaves' of Indian and Bangladeshi populations in the other country. While agreements on these have long been in existence, their implementation remains in abeyance because of tensions along the border, as well as Bangladesh's evident strategic and tactical interests in obstructing an Indian fence that would put an end to the movement of terrorist and criminal groups, as well as the large volume of illegal migration that Dhaka implicitly supports. In some cases, topography also creates problems. The Belonia sub-division in South Tripura, for instance, has been a repeated flash-point, because the Muhuri river keeps changing its course, creating vast islands, which both the countries claim leading to border skirmishes.

Under the circumstances, occasional clashes along the border are not unexpected. However, the torture and cold blooded murder of soldiers is impossible to justify or countenance. India, unfortunately, appears to lack the political will to impose minimal norms of civilized conduct in interactions with any of its recalcitrant neighbours.

INDIA

Manipur: 'Revivalist' Wave
Guest Writer: Pradip Phanjoubam
Editor, Imphal Free Press

A storm of revivalism is blowing across the Valley Districts of Manipur, spearheaded by an organisation that calls itself MEELAL (Meetei Erol Eyek Loinshillon Apunba Lup, or the United Forum for Safeguarding Manipuri Script and Language), and has culminated in the atrocious act of arson at the Manipur State Central Library where all its more than 1,45,000 books were destroyed on April 13, 2005. MEELAL initiated its violent campaign to 'immediately' have the Bengali script replaced by the indigenous Meitei Mayek in written Manipuri, and to have all school text books written in the latter script from the current academic session. Presently, and for almost the last 300 years, the Bengali script has been the medium of written Manipuri. MEELAL activists have been going about visiting schools, snatching textbooks written in Bengali and burning them for almost two months now, with the Okram Ibobi led Congress Government merely 'waiting and watching' - now very much its trade mark policy for 'tackling' crises - in the hope that the storm will eventually spend itself and pass.

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Terrorist Diktats Rule -- Bibhu Prasad Routray
Rampaging Militants, Mute State - Bibhu Prasad Routray

Regardless of numerous appeals from the Government and a good section of the vocal public, MEELAL intensified its campaign and added an economic blockade of the State, over and above its textbook burning spree. Many freight trucks that entered Imphal against the blockade call ended up in ashes, in the heart of capital, in full public view and under the very nose of the Government. At one stage, MEELAL even issued a diktat that all vernacular dailies should begin using Meitei Mayek by March 1. The newspapers initially refused to do so, provoking MEELAL's ire, with activists raiding newspaper distribution centres and intimidating hawkers, starting March 11, till the newspapers complied with their diktat. In the initial sweep, even local English dailies were not spared. In protest, newspapers in the State stopped publication for three days and journalists staged a sit-in protest against the intrusion on their freedom, until a settlement was negotiated under which MEELAL was to allow the distribution of newspapers if the vernacular newspapers reserved some space on the front page for news written in Meitei Mayek. The Government continued its watching game. All except one daily complied with the agreement, but many were extremely compliant and even went to the extent of using the entire front page for news written in the Meitei Mayek. However, these enthusiasts retracted their extreme gesture of support after they found no takers among their readers, and their circulations dropped. The one newspaper that held out, and is still uncompromising, is the Ireilbak vernacular, which insists that the matter must solely be left to the discretion of the editor of the newspaper and that no agreement made under duress can be made binding on all. English dailies were, however, spared this dilemma.

The Government did nothing, again, when an underground organization, a faction of the Kangleipak Communist Party (KCP) imposed a five day bandh (shut down) of the State, beginning April 10 and concluding April 16, in a show of solidarity for MEELAL's demands. On April 13, however, the library burning incident shocked the Government out of its complacency. Two Additional Directors General of Police (ADGPs) were removed from their posts and put on 'compulsory wait' for negligence, and a probe was ordered into the arson. Initial reports confirmed the Library authorities, fearing an attack, had earlier written a note to the Imphal West Superintendent of Police (SP), requesting security cover, but their application was ignored.

The library burning incident put not just the administration on the defensive, but prompted many underground organizations to issue statements that they had no part in it. The Kanglei Yawol Kanna Lup (KYKL) to state that, while it 'spiritually supports' MEELAL's cause, it was never physically part of the latter's agitation. The organization even made a correspondent of the Press Trust of India (PTI) who had, by oversight, reported that the KCP and the KYKL had joined ranks with the MEELAL and issued statements demanding the introduction of Meitei Mayek in schools from the current academic year, was made to apologize publicly by the KYKL under threat of extreme punishment. Other underground organizations like the Revolutionary People's Front (RPF) condemned the arson incident, saying that it was an act against the people. The RPF agreed that the script switch will eventually have to take place, but it should not be at the cost of destroying existing knowledge stored in the Bengali or any other scripts. The Kuki National Front (KNF) joined the chorus of condemnation, while the United National Liberation Front (UNLF) has remained silent.

For the activists and leadership of MEELAL, the passion that drives their present campaign is akin to a fundamentalist thirst for a revenge on history. Their act of torching books written in Bengali is, by their own admission, symbolic reprisal for the burning of ancient Meitei Mayek manuscripts called Puyas, in 1726, by King Pamheiba (rechristened Garib Niwaz) after he made Vaishnavism the state religion. Pamheiba was one of Manipur's most powerful rulers, and he extended his military influence eastwards up to the confluence of the Chindwin and Irrawadi on edge of Ava (near Mandalay), the capital of the then Ava Kingdom. Although the influence of Hinduism was growing in Manipur at the time, it was a Vaishnavite missionary, Shantidas Adhikari, more popularly known in Manipur as Shantidas Goshai, who won over the powerful ruler of the kingdom and, through him, completed a total conversion of the state to Vaishnavism. Using his state authority, the King made the religion mandatory for all his Meitei subjects. However, the historical memory of the place recorded in existing books was seen as coming in the way of the new religion and tradition and, apparently on the advice of his religious mentor Shantidas, the King ordered all the puyas confiscated and burnt, in an event remembered to this day as Puya Meithaba. Many of these books, it is said, were occultist in content, enumerating magic rites, oracular predictions and tantric medicinal traditions. Others were records of events. There was strong resistance from those who refused the new religion, and many of books and scholars went underground or into self-imposed exile. Among them was Lourembam Khongnangthaba, who was never again seen, and a legend grew that he had vowed to be reincarnated in good times. It is no co-incidence that Khongnangthaba is the icon of Meitei revivalist organizations, including MEELAL which has grown under the leadership of Chingsubam Akaba Meetei, now in jail under the National Security Act (NSA), 1980, along with other activists.

There is broad agreement among most of the Meitei underground organizations as well as a majority of the Meiteis, that the script must be switched, although not many agree with the manner in which the demand is being pressed, violently and with such unreasonable obduracy. Haste, moreover, is not favoured by most, as many creases remain to be smoothed out in the script, which has not been in use for nearly all of three centuries. As for instance, the officially recognized Meitei Mayek has 27 alphabets, but there is another group of activists and scholars who say it should contain 36. The Manipur Legislative Assembly too, on February 21, the last day of its Budget Session, shot down by a voice vote majority a private member's resolution moved by Dr. Nimaichand Luwang for the immediate switch of scripts, although the Leader of the House gave his commitment that the changeover would be brought about in phases. The demand for the switch, it may be recalled, has been in existence for almost three decades now and became all the more urgent after Manipuri was recognized as a national language under the 8th Schedule of the Constitution. The language agitation, in its present form, however, can only add to the violence-wracked State's overflowing cup of woes.

 

NEWS BRIEFS

Weekly Fatalities: Major Conflicts in South Asia
April 18-24, 2005

 
Civilian
Security Force Personnel
Terrorist
Total

BANGLADESH

0
0
3
3

INDIA

     ASSAM

3
0
0
3

     Jammu &
     Kashmir

6
1
31
38

     Left-wing
     Extremism

8
0
3
11

     Manipur

1
0
1
2

     Tripura

1
0
0
1

Total (INDIA)

19
1
35
55

NEPAL

12
7
29
48

SRI LANKA

0
0
6
6
 Provisional data compiled from English language media sources.


BANGLADESH

Bangladesh massing troops, says Indian Border Security Force: On April 23, 2005, the Indian Border Security Force (BSF) said that Bangladesh was massing troops along the border with Tripura, building trenches to move in heavy weapons, violating the country's airspace and evacuating Bangladeshi civilians from border villages to make room for paramilitary reinforcements. A BSF statement released in Agartala, capital of Tripura, said that the Bangladesh Rifles (BDR) has been digging a large number of trenches and increasing the number of its personnel in the Kurma area under Maulvi Bazaar district, across Kamalpur sub-division in Tripura's Dhalai district. "The BDR has also violated Indian air space with one of its helicopters flying over Magrum, Beltoli and Chhotakhil areas in South Tripura's Sabroom sub-division on Friday," the BSF statement added. The statement further said the BDR has evacuated Bangladeshi civilians from the village of Mokabil under Trimangal police station so that its personnel could occupy the area when reinforcements arrive. Sentinel Assam, April 24, 2005.


INDIA

New Asian-African Strategic Partnership agreement signed in Bandung: Asian and African leaders on April 24, 2005, signed an agreement in Bandung, Indonesia, to build stronger economic and political links and resolved, among other things, to address issues of common concern such as terrorism, weapons of mass destruction and organised crime. The declaration on the New Asian-African Strategic Partnership (NAASP) plus an action plan on its implementation was signed after a two-day summit of leaders from more than 100 countries representing three-fourths of the world's population, pledged to boost trade and investment ties and underlined the importance of multilateral approaches to solving conflicts. Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, spoke on behalf of Asia at the signing ceremony. New Indian Express, April 25, 2005.

Second Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service concludes without incident: The second trans-Line of Control (LoC) Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service concluded without incident on April 21, 2005. While 38 passengers from Srinagar, capital of Jammu and Kashmir, traveled to the other side of the LoC, the number of passengers coming from Muzaffarabad, capital of the Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK) was 28, including 11 new passengers. There was tight security from Srinagar to Kaman Post - the last Indian post - and even school buses were reportedly not allowed on the road till the bus had crossed the outskirts of Srinagar. Ten companies of the Central Reserve Police Force, five of the Border Service Force, a number of army and police personnel had reportedly been deployed to ensure an incident-free day. The Hindu, April 22, 2005.

India-Pakistan peace process is irreversible, says Joint Statement: India and Pakistan while underlining on April 18, 2005, that the peace process between the two countries was "now irreversible," agreed to open trade across the Line of Control (LoC) by allowing trucks between Srinagar and Muzaffarabad, open the trans-LoC Poonch-Rawalakot route and take steps for the meeting of divided families along the LoC. Condemning the attempts to disrupt the Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service, the Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, and the Pakistan President, Gen. Pervez Musharraf, pledged in a joint statement that they "would not allow terrorism to impede the peace process." Times of India, April 19, 2005.


NEPAL

India may consider resumption of military aid to Nepal: India on April 23, 2005, promised to look at Nepal's request for the resumption of Indian military aid from a "proper perspective". The decision was reportedly conveyed by the Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, to King Gyanendra during a 45-minute meeting in the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, on April 23, on the sidelines of the ongoing Asian-African Summit. An unnamed senior Indian official told The Hindu that a consignment of arms, which had been in the pipeline when King Gyanendra seized power on February 1, would be delivered "very soon." The King reportedly assured Dr. Singh that democracy in Nepal would be restored "sooner rather than later" and that he would be sensitive to Indian concerns that there be a "road map" for restarting the political process. The Hindu, April 24, 2005.

Maoist chief rules out peace talks: Chief of the Maoist insurgents, Pushpa Kamal Dahal alias Comrade Prachanda, has ruled out peace talks or a cease-fire with the Government, predicting that the nine-year-old conflict would see the Maoists come to power soon. "Right now, we do not see any possibility of talks with these mediaeval and barbaric feudal autocrats," he told Reuters during an e-mail interview received on April 18, 2005. Prachanda stated that "Right now, the possibility of a ceasefire does not exist." He also claimed "The seizure of power by the widely hated regicidal and fratricidal king is nothing else than the last and desperate attempt of feudal autocracy against the democratic thrust and aspiration of the Nepalese masses." Daily Times, April 19, 2005.


PAKISTAN

Armed struggle will continue till Kashmir is free, says United Jehad Council: The United Jehad Council (UJC), an umbrella organisation of all Pakistan-based Jehadi groups, has reportedly said that militant organisations will not give up their weapons till Jammu and Kashmir is freed from Indian rule. UJC Chairman Syed Salahuddin told Daily Times on April 24, 2005, that people suggesting times had changed and the role of the gun in liberation movements after 9/11 had ended were living in a "fools' paradise". "Let me make it clear that nobody will lay down his or her weapon till Kashmir is liberated," he added. Certain conditions would have to be met if, at any stage, President Pervez Musharraf or any other dignitary called for a cease-fire for a certain period to facilitate the current composite dialogue process with India, Salahuddin said. According to him, "Firstly, UJC leaders will consider the ceasefire call, secondly, the Indian Government has to admit that Jammu and Kashmir is disputed territory and thirdly, the demand for the release of Kashmiri prisoners from Indian jails and an end to military operations and atrocities by the Indian Army will have to be met." Daily Times, April 25, 2005.

Osama bin Laden in Pakistan-Afghan tribal belt, says President Musharraf: The Al Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden is alive and hiding somewhere in the inaccessible Pakistan-Afghan tribal belt, said Pakistani President, Gen. Pervez Musharraf. "Osama is alive and I am cent per cent sure that he is hiding in the Pakistani-Afghan tribal belt," Musharraf said in an interview to the CNN. Gen. Musharraf also said the tribal areas on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border stretched to difficult mountain ranges where it would be very hard to locate bin Laden due to the lack of communication infrastructure. The Pakistani Government is developing the infrastructure there to hunt down Osama and the remnants of the Al Qaeda, he claimed. Hindustan Times, April 23, 2005.

Link found between Daniel Pearl's killers and Muslim charity: Pakistani investigators have reportedly found a definite and irrevocable link between a Muslim charity and one of the four suspects believed to be involved in the murder of Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl in February 2002. According to Daily Times, a 'Trust Deed', retrieved from at least two banks where the Al-Akhtar Trust International, outlawed by the American Treasury Department in 2003 for having links with the Taliban and Al Qaeda, has it accounts, shows that Saud Memon is one of Al-Akhtar's eleven trustees. Memon, an industrialist who remains one of the key suspects still at large in the Daniel Pearl murder case, had been named by several arrested members of the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen Al-Almi (HuMA) as their chief financial supporter. His date of birth, father's name and his citizenship (National Identity Card number) were reportedly identical on the CID Red Book and the Trust Deed. Daily Times, April 19, 2005.



The South Asia Intelligence Review (SAIR) is a weekly service that brings you regular data, assessments and news briefs on terrorism, insurgencies and sub-conventional warfare, on counter-terrorism responses and policies, as well as on related economic, political, and social issues, in the South Asian region.

SAIR is a project of the Institute for Conflict Management and the South Asia Terrorism Portal.

 

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Editor
Dr. Ajai Sahni



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